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Northern Arizona (7-22 in 2025–26) hosts Montana State (15-14 in 2025–26) on Dec 5, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MTST offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · NAU defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
NAU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · MTST defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MTSTNAU
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
MTSTNAUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Jed Miller's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Miller | 36.9 | 16.7 | 6.4 | 3.5 |
| Christian King | 30.3 | 12.8 | 4.2 | 0.9 |
| Patrick McMahon | 29.7 | 12.5 | 4.7 | 1.8 |
| Davian Brown | 27.5 | 16.0 | 3.3 | 2.3 |
| Jeremiah Davis | 26.5 | 11.2 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| Seth Amunrud | 22.7 | 7.8 | 3.1 | 0.5 |
| Chris Hodges | 21.5 | 4.8 | 4.1 | 0.7 |
| Jaden Steppe | 18.1 | 6.9 | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Komin | 34.6 | 11.1 | 2.7 | 3.0 |
| Ryan Abelman | 31.9 | 9.6 | 4.5 | 1.9 |
| Brennan Peterson | 25.7 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| Diego Campisano | 24.8 | 10.3 | 3.6 | 0.7 |
| Traivar Jackson | 23.4 | 7.4 | 4.1 | 1.0 |
| Karl Poom | 21.1 | 11.0 | 3.2 | 1.0 |
| Isaiah Shaw | 15.7 | 6.0 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| Oakland Fort | 12.3 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 1.7 |
MTST offenseper gameNAU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
MTSTForAgainst46% of MTST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
NAUForAgainst49% of NAU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MTST 8series2 NAU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | MTST 76 | NAU 65 | MTST+11 | +11 |
| Jan 3, 2026 | NAU 68 | MTST 77 | MTST+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025 | MTST 64 | NAU 69 | NAU+5 | +5 |
| Jan 11, 2025 | NAU 53 | MTST 58 | MTST+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | MTST 71 | NAU 76 | NAU+5 | +5 |
| Jan 11, 2024 | NAU 50 | MTST 79 | MTST+29 | +29 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2023 | NAU 78 | MTST 85 | MTST+7 | +7 |
| Feb 2, 2023 | NAU 68 | MTST 69 | MTST+1 | +1 |
| Jan 7, 2023 | MTST 69 | NAU 54 | MTST+15 | +15 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | NAU 70 | MTST 72 | MTST+2 | +2 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MTST15-15 · last 30 games | NAU7-23 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −1.7#105 of 361 | −4.2#328 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 45.4%#300 of 361 | 47.8%#97 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +1.7#139 of 361 | −14.6#338 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 109.4#205 of 361 | 119.0#16 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.