Loading the game…
⌘K
UC Santa Barbara (16-14 in 2025–26) hosts Cal Poly (12-19 in 2025–26) on Dec 5, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
CP offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · UCSB defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
UCSB offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · CP defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
CPUCSB
Expected pace: about 72 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
CPUCSBNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Hamad Mousa's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamad Mousa | 31.8 | 18.7 | 6.0 | 1.9 |
| Peter Bandelj | 30.8 | 10.8 | 3.9 | 3.3 |
| Cayden Ward | 29.7 | 13.7 | 7.0 | 2.1 |
| Guzman Vasilic | 23.9 | 8.8 | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| Austin Goode | 20.4 | 7.5 | 3.4 | 1.5 |
| Jake Davis | 17.5 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| Jess Esso Essis | 17.4 | 8.6 | 3.6 | 1.0 |
| Luka Tarlac | 14.3 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Mahaney | 35.3 | 15.7 | 2.1 | 2.5 |
| CJ Shaw | 32.6 | 13.3 | 2.1 | 2.4 |
| Colin Smith | 31.7 | 12.7 | 4.5 | 1.8 |
| Miro Little | 30.7 | 11.1 | 6.9 | 5.4 |
| Zion Sensley | 26.4 | 11.5 | 7.9 | 0.7 |
| Hosana Kitenge | 22.0 | 6.9 | 5.1 | 1.8 |
| Marvin McGhee IV | 21.8 | 6.9 | 4.5 | 1.1 |
| Evans Kipruto | 8.2 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 0.1 |
CP offenseper gameUCSB defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
CPForAgainst47% of CP's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UCSBForAgainst48% of UCSB's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
CP 1series9 UCSB| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | UCSB 79 | CP 89 | CP+10 | +10 |
| Jan 22, 2026 | CP 67 | UCSB 107 | UCSB+40 | +40 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | CP 77 | UCSB 96 | UCSB+19 | +19 |
| Jan 11, 2025 | UCSB 75 | CP 72 | UCSB+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | CP 75 | UCSB 83 | UCSB+8 | +8 |
| Jan 6, 2024 | UCSB 61 | CP 52 | UCSB+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | CP 54 | UCSB 64 | UCSB+10 | +10 |
| Feb 2, 2023 | CP 62 | UCSB 68 | UCSB+6 | +6 |
| Jan 7, 2023 | UCSB 62 | CP 57 | UCSB+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | UCSB 69 | CP 64 | UCSB+5 | +5 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | CP12-18 · last 30 games | UCSB16-14 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half points against | 40.9#6 of 361 | 32.8#282 of 361 | 35.0 |
| Possessions per game | 75.4#1 of 361 | 67.4#217 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Scoring margin | −3.1#236 of 361 | +3.0#102 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −4.1#234 of 361 | +4.4#101 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.