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Notre Dame (13-18 in 2025–26) hosts TCU (21-11 in 2025–26) on Dec 5, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
TCU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · ND defense in 2
ND offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · TCU defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
TCUND
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
TCUNDNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Jalen Haralson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Pierre | 32.3 | 10.6 | 2.5 | 2.8 |
| Brock Harding | 30.5 | 7.2 | 2.7 | 5.1 |
| David Punch | 29.9 | 14.5 | 5.5 | 2.6 |
| Micah Robinson | 27.5 | 10.7 | 4.0 | 1.1 |
| Xavier Edmonds | 26.3 | 14.9 | 9.2 | 1.1 |
| Tanner Toolson | 23.9 | 9.0 | 3.7 | 1.3 |
| Liutauras Lelevicius | 23.8 | 8.4 | 3.3 | 0.6 |
| Kayden Edwards | 7.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braeden Shrewsberry | 35.1 | 12.4 | 3.5 | 2.6 |
| Cole Certa | 33.7 | 17.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| Jalen Haralson | 27.6 | 17.8 | 4.6 | 2.7 |
| Carson Towt | 25.4 | 4.9 | 7.5 | 1.4 |
| Logan Imes | 23.7 | 5.1 | 3.5 | 1.9 |
| Brady Koehler | 21.5 | 7.6 | 4.4 | 0.5 |
| Sir Mohammed | 17.8 | 7.2 | 2.7 | 1.9 |
| Garrett Sundra | 16.3 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 0.4 |
TCU offenseper gameND defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
TCUForAgainst46% of TCU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
NDForAgainst45% of ND's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
TCU 0series1 ND| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | ND 87 | TCU 85 | ND+2 | +2 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | TCU20-10 · last 30 games | ND12-18 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 104.1#304 of 361 | 112.9#113 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Scoring margin | +5.2#63 of 361 | −1.6#212 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +7.5#65 of 361 | −2.4#213 of 361 | −0.7 |
| 2nd half points against | 37.0#304 of 361 | 40.1#162 of 361 | 39.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.