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Detroit Mercy (15-15 in 2025–26) hosts Northern Kentucky (17-14 in 2025–26) on Dec 5, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
NKU offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (4 by a clear margin) · DETM defense in 0
DETM offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · NKU defense in 1
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
NKUDETM
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
NKUDETMNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Donovan Oday's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tae Dozier | 32.4 | 9.3 | 6.3 | 2.5 |
| Donovan Oday | 32.1 | 20.3 | 3.7 | 2.2 |
| Ethan Elliott | 31.2 | 4.9 | 3.7 | 4.4 |
| LJ Wells | 31.2 | 17.9 | 6.0 | 2.5 |
| Dan Gherezgher | 28.9 | 15.9 | 3.7 | 3.2 |
| Kael Robinson | 26.7 | 12.3 | 4.6 | 0.6 |
| Shawn Nelson | 12.4 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 0.6 |
| Donovan Rakotonanahary | 10.3 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Lovejoy | 33.1 | 19.0 | 3.9 | 3.5 |
| Tyler Spratt | 31.1 | 12.6 | 4.6 | 2.2 |
| Legend Geeter | 30.1 | 10.2 | 7.5 | 2.8 |
| TJ Nadeau | 29.0 | 14.7 | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| Ryan Kalambay | 25.6 | 5.3 | 7.0 | 0.4 |
| Lance Stone | 22.9 | 7.3 | 1.1 | 2.5 |
| London Maiden | 14.8 | 5.6 | 2.8 | 0.5 |
| Je'kel Cotton | 7.2 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 0.1 |
NKU offenseper gameDETM defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
NKUForAgainst46% of NKU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
DETMForAgainst48% of DETM's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
NKU 8series2 DETM| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | NKU 77 | DETM 90 | DETM+13 | +13 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | DETM 71 | NKU 96 | NKU+25 | +25 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | DETM 75 | NKU 99 | NKU+24 | +24 |
| Jan 30, 2025 | NKU 57 | DETM 68 | DETM+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2024 | DETM 60 | NKU 73 | NKU+13 | +13 |
| Feb 10, 2024 | DETM 67 | NKU 79 | NKU+12 | +12 |
| Jan 13, 2024 | NKU 81 | DETM 76 | NKU+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | NKU 67 | DETM 64 | NKU+3 | +3 |
| Jan 8, 2023 | DETM 76 | NKU 78 | NKU+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2022 | DETM 59 | NKU 77 | NKU+18 | +18 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | NKU17-13 · last 30 games | DETM15-15 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 76.6#198 of 361 | 78.9#39 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Scoring margin | +3.6#91 of 361 | −2.4#225 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +5.1#93 of 361 | −3.5#224 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 110.4#172 of 361 | 114.1#80 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.