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Morgan State (11-16 in 2025–26) hosts Mercyhurst (13-17 in 2025–26) on Dec 5, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MERC offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MORG defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
MORG offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MERC defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MERCMORG
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
MERCMORGNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Alfred Worrell Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernie Blunt III | 32.3 | 17.5 | 3.5 | 2.3 |
| Qadir Martin | 31.7 | 13.5 | 7.4 | 1.1 |
| Jake Lemelman | 31.1 | 15.1 | 2.5 | 3.5 |
| Deshaun Jackson Jr. | 22.2 | 5.4 | 3.7 | 2.9 |
| Christian Gamble | 22.0 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Mykolas Ivanauskas | 18.1 | 5.6 | 4.2 | 0.5 |
| Sean Lang | 16.2 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 1.0 |
| Kaden Fuhrmann | 14.1 | 3.5 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Davis | 37.4 | 14.0 | 3.7 | 6.3 |
| Rob Lawson | 34.1 | 11.9 | 4.0 | 3.1 |
| Alfred Worrell Jr. | 31.8 | 19.3 | 4.6 | 1.5 |
| Christian Meeks | 29.1 | 5.5 | 6.0 | 0.6 |
| Eugene Alvin | 20.6 | 9.3 | 3.9 | 0.5 |
| Marland Harris | 19.7 | 5.1 | 6.1 | 0.4 |
| Walter Peggs Jr. | 18.7 | 9.3 | 2.3 | 0.2 |
| Christian Oliver | 16.0 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 0.5 |
MERC offenseper gameMORG defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
MERCForAgainst46% of MERC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MORGForAgainst45% of MORG's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MERC 2series0 MORG| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | MORG 72 | MERC 86 | MERC+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2024 | MERC 78 | MORG 73 | MERC+5 | +5 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MERC13-17 · last 30 games | MORG12-18 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half points against | 30.9#346 of 361 | 37.9#47 of 361 | 35.0 |
| Possessions per game | 64.5#336 of 361 | 70.6#52 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 104.9#297 of 361 | 112.9#112 of 361 | 109.9 |
| 2nd half points for | 35.8#325 of 361 | 39.9#154 of 361 | 39.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.