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Oregon (12-20 in 2025–26) hosts USC (17-14 in 2025–26) on Dec 5, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
USC offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · ORE defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
ORE offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · USC defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
USCORE
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
USCORENo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Nate Bittle's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kam Woods | 33.5 | 10.9 | 4.5 | 4.3 |
| Jacob Cofie | 32.4 | 10.1 | 7.4 | 2.1 |
| Ezra Ausar | 31.9 | 12.9 | 7.3 | 1.6 |
| Chad Baker-Mazara | 28.0 | 17.2 | 3.8 | 1.9 |
| Alijah Arenas | 27.6 | 14.1 | 2.9 | 2.1 |
| Jordan Marsh | 18.5 | 8.0 | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| Jerry Easter II | 16.1 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 0.5 |
| Gabe Dynes | 11.0 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Bittle | 35.8 | 17.4 | 7.1 | 3.4 |
| Takai Simpkins | 33.8 | 12.5 | 3.2 | 2.5 |
| Kwame Evans Jr. | 32.9 | 13.7 | 7.3 | 1.5 |
| Sean Stewart | 25.5 | 6.7 | 4.7 | 1.7 |
| Dezdrick Lindsay | 21.2 | 5.7 | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| Drew Carter | 19.0 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Wei Lin | 18.2 | 6.8 | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Jamari Phillips | 14.0 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
USC offenseper gameORE defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
USCForAgainst49% of USC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
OREForAgainst44% of ORE's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
USC 3series7 ORE| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | ORE 71 | USC 70 | ORE+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | USC 82 | ORE 77 | USC+5 | +5 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | USC 61 | ORE 82 | ORE+21 | +21 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2024 | ORE 68 | USC 60 | ORE+8 | +8 |
| Feb 1, 2024 | ORE 78 | USC 69 | ORE+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2023 | USC 74 | ORE 82 | ORE+8 | +8 |
| Feb 9, 2023 | USC 60 | ORE 78 | ORE+18 | +18 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | USC 70 | ORE 69 | USC+1 | +1 |
| Jan 15, 2022 | ORE 79 | USC 69 | ORE+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2021 | ORE 68 | USC 82 | USC+14 | +14 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | USC16-14 · last 30 games | ORE10-20 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possessions per game | 71.3#29 of 361 | 65.8#289 of 361 | 68.0 |
| 2nd half points for | 41.1#101 of 361 | 37.7#266 of 361 | 39.5 |
| 2nd half points against | 42.9#42 of 361 | 39.9#175 of 361 | 39.7 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 110.7#164 of 361 | 113.7#86 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.