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North Carolina Central (10-18 in 2025–26) hosts South Carolina Upstate (10-19 in 2025–26) on Dec 5, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UPST offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · NCCU defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
NCCU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · UPST defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
UPSTNCCU
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
UPSTNCCUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Karmani Gregory's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Adkins | 35.5 | 14.0 | 4.9 | 2.3 |
| Karmani Gregory | 33.4 | 16.9 | 2.5 | 2.8 |
| Mason Bendinger | 32.2 | 13.0 | 4.5 | 1.3 |
| Isaiah Skinner | 24.2 | 5.9 | 3.5 | 1.7 |
| Learic Davis | 20.0 | 6.7 | 3.6 | 0.5 |
| Jafeth Martinez | 19.0 | 4.6 | 4.9 | 0.1 |
| Tyler Smith | 17.7 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 2.2 |
| Breylin Garcia | 14.9 | 7.1 | 4.6 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Lattimore | 37.1 | 14.3 | 4.9 | 2.4 |
| Dionte Johnson | 34.1 | 11.7 | 4.3 | 4.6 |
| Kelechi Okworogwo | 32.7 | 11.5 | 5.6 | 0.7 |
| Kyric Davis | 28.9 | 9.8 | 5.0 | 1.1 |
| Tekao Carpenter | 27.9 | 7.6 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Jae Slack | 25.9 | 9.9 | 3.1 | 0.7 |
| Khouri Carvey | 23.8 | 11.6 | 4.0 | 2.0 |
| Ryan Archey | 9.1 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
UPST offenseper gameNCCU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
UPSTForAgainst44% of UPST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
NCCUForAgainst44% of NCCU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
UPST 2series1 NCCU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2025 | NCCU 67 | UPST 82 | UPST+15 | +15 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2023 | UPST 85 | NCCU 82 | UPST+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2021 | NCCU 67 | UPST 65 | NCCU+2 | +2 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UPST10-20 · last 30 games | NCCU11-19 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 108.6#222 of 361 | 117.0#30 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Possessions per game | 69.9#78 of 361 | 66.3#268 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 45.0%#326 of 361 | 46.5%#208 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −7.5#238 of 361 | −3.6#326 of 361 | −0.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.