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Fairfield (20-13 in 2025–26) hosts Manhattan (11-20 in 2025–26) on Dec 4, 2026, 7:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MAN offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · FAIR defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
FAIR offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · MAN defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MANFAIR
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
MANFAIRNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Braden Sparks's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Winston | 35.9 | 15.0 | 3.4 | 4.2 |
| Devin Dinkins | 32.1 | 10.8 | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| Terrance Jones | 31.9 | 14.7 | 5.6 | 2.0 |
| Fraser Roxburgh | 31.7 | 10.9 | 5.4 | 1.0 |
| Anthony Isaac | 25.7 | 8.9 | 7.2 | 1.1 |
| Marko Ljubicic | 17.3 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 0.7 |
| Quron Elliott | 15.1 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Erik Oliver-Bush | 8.6 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Sparks | 35.3 | 16.9 | 3.1 | 2.8 |
| Declan Wucherpfennig | 32.7 | 12.1 | 9.5 | 1.9 |
| Brandon Benjamin | 31.7 | 15.1 | 10.6 | 1.4 |
| Tony Williams | 24.7 | 7.5 | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| Halon Rawlins | 19.5 | 4.0 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| Eric Mejia | 19.0 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| Deuce Turner | 18.4 | 7.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Isaac Munkadi | 8.7 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 0.0 |
MAN offenseper gameFAIR defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
MANForAgainst44% of MAN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
FAIRForAgainst47% of FAIR's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MAN 4series6 FAIR| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | MAN 60 | FAIR 71 | FAIR+11 | +11 |
| Jan 14, 2026 | MAN 62 | FAIR 98 | FAIR+36 | +36 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | FAIR 66 | MAN 70 | MAN+4 | +4 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MAN 80 | FAIR 67 | MAN+13 | +13 |
| Jan 23, 2025 | FAIR 87 | MAN 84 | FAIR+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2024 | MAN 68 | FAIR 77 | FAIR+9 | +9 |
| Jan 21, 2024 | FAIR 82 | MAN 75 | FAIR+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2023 | MAN 73 | FAIR 72 | MAN+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2022 | FAIR 53 | MAN 56 | MAN+3 | +3 |
| Feb 27, 2022 | FAIR 66 | MAN 62 | FAIR+4 | +4 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MAN11-19 · last 30 games | FAIR19-11 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 115.5#50 of 361 | 108.6#223 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Points against | 78.4#86 of 361 | 72.1#251 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Scoring margin | −6.4#299 of 361 | +1.4#134 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −9.4#297 of 361 | +2.2#133 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.