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Illinois (24-8 in 2025–26) and UConn (29-5 in 2025–26) meet at a neutral site on Dec 4, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
CONN offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · ILL defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
ILL offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · CONN defense in 1
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
CONNILL
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
CONNILLNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Keaton Wagler's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Karaban | 34.1 | 11.5 | 5.2 | 2.7 |
| Silas Demary Jr. | 32.3 | 11.8 | 4.9 | 6.3 |
| Solo Ball | 29.1 | 12.8 | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| Braylon Mullins | 28.8 | 12.3 | 3.3 | 1.2 |
| Tarris Reed Jr. | 26.5 | 13.0 | 8.3 | 2.7 |
| Jayden Ross | 17.9 | 4.7 | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| Eric Reibe | 13.6 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 0.6 |
| Jaylin Stewart | 12.1 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keaton Wagler | 37.1 | 20.0 | 4.4 | 5.1 |
| David Mirkovic | 31.3 | 14.9 | 7.1 | 2.7 |
| Kylan Boswell | 27.4 | 10.1 | 3.6 | 3.0 |
| Tomislav Ivisic | 27.1 | 9.5 | 6.3 | 2.0 |
| Andrej Stojakovic | 26.5 | 12.9 | 4.8 | 1.1 |
| Jake Davis | 25.9 | 7.4 | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| Ben Humrichous | 24.5 | 6.7 | 4.1 | 0.9 |
| Zvonimir Ivisic | 18.7 | 6.5 | 4.6 | 0.2 |
CONN offenseper gameILL defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
CONNForAgainst51% of CONN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
ILLForAgainst47% of ILL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
CONN 3series0 ILL| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | ILL 62 | CONN 71 | CONN+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | ILL 61 | CONN 74 | CONN+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | ILL 52 | CONN 77 | CONN+25 | +25 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | CONN25-5 · last 30 games | ILL22-8 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 47.8%#99 of 361 | 45.1%#320 of 361 | 46.9% |
| 2nd half points for | 38.0#255 of 361 | 41.8#75 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 100.3#342 of 361 | 106.3#273 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 115.9#61 of 361 | 124.7#2 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.