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Niagara (7-22 in 2025–26) hosts Mount St. Mary's (13-17 in 2025–26) on Dec 4, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MSM offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · NIA defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
NIA offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · MSM defense in 4 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MSMNIA
Expected pace: about 65 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
MSMNIANo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Arlandus Keyes's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Lipscomb | 31.2 | 8.1 | 4.2 | 3.5 |
| Arlandus Keyes | 30.9 | 13.3 | 3.7 | 3.2 |
| Trey Deveaux | 26.7 | 11.1 | 4.1 | 0.9 |
| Luke McEldon | 25.9 | 12.3 | 6.4 | 1.5 |
| Abdou Khadre Kébé | 25.1 | 7.8 | 7.1 | 0.9 |
| Anthony Arrington | 18.9 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| Justin Amadi | 18.0 | 5.3 | 3.2 | 0.3 |
| Mason So | 9.9 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Page | 29.0 | 10.8 | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| Justin Hawkins | 26.1 | 7.9 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
| Reggie Prudhomme | 25.1 | 4.9 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Vice Zanki | 24.8 | 10.9 | 2.9 | 0.8 |
| Trenton Walters | 23.8 | 6.3 | 1.4 | 3.3 |
| Will Shortt | 22.8 | 9.0 | 5.3 | 0.9 |
| Josiah Sabino | 21.5 | 8.1 | 5.2 | 0.8 |
| Landon Williams | 20.4 | 4.6 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
MSM offenseper gameNIA defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
MSMForAgainst46% of MSM's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
NIAForAgainst48% of NIA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MSM 6series2 NIA| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | NIA 63 | MSM 76 | MSM+13 | +13 |
| Jan 19, 2026 | MSM 68 | NIA 58 | MSM+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2025 | MSM 84 | NIA 83 | MSM+1 | +1 |
| Jan 5, 2025 | NIA 62 | MSM 68 | MSM+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | MSM 91 | NIA 72 | MSM+19 | +19 |
| Jan 21, 2024 | NIA 82 | MSM 71 | NIA+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2023 | NIA 66 | MSM 70 | MSM+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2022 | MSM 55 | NIA 67 | NIA+12 | +12 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MSM13-17 · last 30 games | NIA7-23 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 105.9#279 of 361 | 114.3#78 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Possessions per game | 67.2#225 of 361 | 62.9#359 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 48.2%#70 of 361 | 46.9%#176 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −5.9#205 of 361 | −2.0#307 of 361 | −0.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.