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Cal State Northridge (18-14 in 2025–26) hosts Cal Poly (12-19 in 2025–26) on Dec 3, 2026, 10:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
CP offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · CSUN defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
CSUN offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · CP defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
CPCSUN
Expected pace: about 75 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
CPCSUNNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Hamad Mousa's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamad Mousa | 31.8 | 18.7 | 6.0 | 1.9 |
| Peter Bandelj | 30.8 | 10.8 | 3.9 | 3.3 |
| Cayden Ward | 29.7 | 13.7 | 7.0 | 2.1 |
| Guzman Vasilic | 23.9 | 8.8 | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| Austin Goode | 20.4 | 7.5 | 3.4 | 1.5 |
| Jake Davis | 17.5 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| Jess Esso Essis | 17.4 | 8.6 | 3.6 | 1.0 |
| Luka Tarlac | 14.3 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua O'Garro | 34.1 | 14.8 | 8.7 | 2.7 |
| Josiah Davis | 33.8 | 17.6 | 5.5 | 8.9 |
| Larry Hughes II | 33.1 | 16.8 | 3.1 | 0.7 |
| Mahmoud Fofana | 30.2 | 11.8 | 7.9 | 1.4 |
| Jordan Brinson | 20.3 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 1.7 |
| James Evans Jr. | 17.7 | 6.7 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Grady Lewis | 11.6 | 5.4 | 3.0 | 0.3 |
| Davius Loury | 10.9 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.3 |
CP offenseper gameCSUN defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
CPForAgainst47% of CP's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
CSUNForAgainst46% of CSUN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
CP 1series9 CSUN| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | CSUN 97 | CP 96 | CSUN+1 | +1 |
| Jan 8, 2026 | CP 90 | CSUN 95 | CSUN+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2025 | CP 85 | CSUN 89 | CSUN+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | CSUN 102 | CP 91 | CSUN+11 | +11 |
| Feb 8, 2024 | CP 65 | CSUN 78 | CSUN+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2023 | CSUN 83 | CP 73 | CSUN+10 | +10 |
| Feb 11, 2023 | CP 53 | CSUN 64 | CSUN+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2022 | CSUN 57 | CP 67 | CP+10 | +10 |
| Feb 10, 2022 | CSUN 83 | CP 78 | CSUN+5 | +5 |
| Jan 8, 2022 | CP 55 | CSUN 68 | CSUN+13 | +13 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | CP12-18 · last 30 games | CSUN17-13 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 48.1%#75 of 361 | 45.1%#322 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 112.7#115 of 361 | 108.1#238 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −5.9#204 of 361 | +8.3#104 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −4.1#234 of 361 | 0.0#170 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.