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North Dakota State (24-7 in 2025–26) hosts UC Davis (17-14 in 2025–26) on Dec 3, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UCD offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · NDSU defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
NDSU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · UCD defense in 1
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
UCDNDSU
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
UCDNDSUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Marcus Wilson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Sevilla | 31.1 | 12.8 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Carl Daughtery Jr. | 29.8 | 9.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 |
| Brayden Fagbemi | 28.3 | 6.9 | 3.6 | 4.1 |
| Marcus Wilson | 27.4 | 14.9 | 3.1 | 4.3 |
| Niko Rocak | 23.9 | 8.3 | 5.0 | 1.6 |
| Isaiah Chappell | 23.2 | 7.1 | 4.3 | 0.6 |
| Nils Cooper | 20.6 | 8.8 | 3.8 | 1.5 |
| Jalen Stokes | 15.9 | 6.3 | 3.2 | 0.6 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Stefonowicz | 33.1 | 10.1 | 3.0 | 5.7 |
| Trevian Carson | 31.4 | 10.7 | 6.1 | 3.2 |
| Damari Wheeler-Thomas | 30.1 | 14.2 | 3.6 | 2.2 |
| Markhi Strickland | 24.5 | 9.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 |
| Tay Smith | 24.1 | 9.3 | 3.1 | 0.6 |
| Noah Feddersen | 21.5 | 11.9 | 5.6 | 0.7 |
| Treyson Anderson | 18.1 | 10.8 | 5.0 | 0.7 |
| Emil Skytta | 13.1 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
UCD offenseper gameNDSU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
UCDForAgainst47% of UCD's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
NDSUForAgainst48% of NDSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
UCD 2series0 NDSU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2025 | NDSU 68 | UCD 80 | UCD+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2023 | NDSU 53 | UCD 68 | UCD+15 | +15 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UCD16-14 · last 30 games | NDSU24-6 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points against | 41.9#76 of 361 | 38.3#266 of 361 | 39.7 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 106.7#233 of 361 | 116.0#58 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Scoring margin | −0.4#180 of 361 | +8.6#28 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −0.5#180 of 361 | +12.6#29 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.