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Miami (25-8 in 2025–26) hosts Alabama (23-9 in 2025–26) on Dec 2, 2026, 9:15 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
ALA offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MIA defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
MIA offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · ALA defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
ALAMIA
Expected pace: about 71 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
ALAMIANo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Labaron Philon Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labaron Philon Jr. | 32.3 | 21.5 | 3.0 | 4.5 |
| Amari Allen | 28.8 | 11.6 | 6.4 | 2.6 |
| Aden Holloway | 28.1 | 15.3 | 3.1 | 3.9 |
| Latrell Wrightsell Jr. | 27.9 | 14.1 | 3.4 | 1.9 |
| Aiden Sherrell | 26.5 | 12.5 | 6.3 | 1.5 |
| Houston Mallette | 23.0 | 5.2 | 5.1 | 1.1 |
| Charles Bediako | 21.6 | 10.0 | 4.6 | 0.2 |
| London Jemison | 15.3 | 5.3 | 3.2 | 0.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Donaldson | 35.4 | 16.7 | 3.6 | 5.0 |
| Shelton Henderson | 34.2 | 13.2 | 5.4 | 1.9 |
| Ernest Udeh Jr. | 31.3 | 7.1 | 8.1 | 0.7 |
| Malik Reneau | 30.8 | 17.7 | 6.7 | 1.9 |
| Dante Allen | 26.3 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 2.3 |
| Tru Washington | 25.0 | 11.8 | 3.7 | 1.7 |
| Timotej Malovec | 12.8 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| Noam Dovrat | 8.2 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
ALA offenseper gameMIA defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
ALAForAgainst48% of ALA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MIAForAgainst48% of MIA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
ALA 1series0 MIA| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2021 | MIA 64 | ALA 96 | ALA+32 | +32 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | ALA21-9 · last 30 games | MIA22-8 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points against | 45.8#5 of 361 | 36.5#322 of 361 | 39.7 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 113.1#102 of 361 | 105.6#286 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Possessions per game | 74.1#5 of 361 | 68.1#181 of 361 | 68.0 |
| 2nd half points for | 47.4#2 of 361 | 41.9#72 of 361 | 39.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.