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Akron (27-5 in 2025–26) hosts Ball State (10-19 in 2025–26) on Dec 2, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
BALL offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · AKR defense in 4 (3 by a clear margin)
AKR offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · BALL defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
BALLAKR
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Tavari Johnson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armoni Zeigler | 34.1 | 14.3 | 5.5 | 3.7 |
| Davion Hill | 31.1 | 16.6 | 5.1 | 2.7 |
| Mason Jones | 29.1 | 2.9 | 4.0 | 1.5 |
| Elmore James IV | 24.6 | 7.3 | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| Devon Barnes | 21.2 | 9.3 | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| Preston Copeland | 19.9 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 0.1 |
| Kayden Fish | 19.9 | 7.8 | 3.3 | 0.5 |
| Juwan Maxey | 14.5 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavari Johnson | 33.8 | 20.2 | 3.7 | 4.1 |
| Amani Lyles | 29.9 | 13.3 | 8.7 | 2.0 |
| Evan Mahaffey | 28.8 | 10.7 | 6.5 | 3.1 |
| Shammah Scott | 26.4 | 12.1 | 2.0 | 2.9 |
| Eric Mahaffey | 21.0 | 7.4 | 5.5 | 1.4 |
| Sharron Young | 19.7 | 7.0 | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| Bowen Hardman | 19.1 | 7.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| Zach Halligan | 13.7 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 0.5 |
BALL offenseper gameAKR defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
BALLForAgainst45% of BALL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
AKRForAgainst49% of AKR's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
BALL 1series9 AKR| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | AKR 78 | BALL 65 | AKR+13 | +13 |
| Jan 13, 2026 | BALL 77 | AKR 87 | AKR+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | AKR 87 | BALL 82 | AKR+5 | +5 |
| Feb 4, 2025 | BALL 73 | AKR 81 | AKR+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2024 | AKR 80 | BALL 76 | AKR+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | BALL 83 | AKR 87 | AKR+4 | +4 |
| Jan 6, 2023 | AKR 63 | BALL 70 | BALL+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2022 | AKR 79 | BALL 60 | AKR+19 | +19 |
| Jan 11, 2022 | BALL 74 | AKR 84 | AKR+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2021 | AKR 88 | BALL 79 | AKR+9 | +9 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | BALL10-20 · last 30 games | AKR25-5 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 62.8#343 of 361 | 92.7#3 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 100.8#328 of 361 | 122.7#7 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −8.5#288 of 361 | +16.4#13 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Scoring margin | −5.6#283 of 361 | +11.6#12 of 361 | −0.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.