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Western Michigan (8-20 in 2025–26) hosts Buffalo (15-15 in 2025–26) on Dec 2, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
BUF offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · WMU defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
WMU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · BUF defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
BUFWMU
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
BUFWMUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Ryan Sabol's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sabol | 38.2 | 20.9 | 3.9 | 3.4 |
| Angelo Brizzi | 33.2 | 18.1 | 3.1 | 2.4 |
| Noah Batchelor | 32.6 | 7.9 | 4.7 | 1.3 |
| Daniel Freitag | 31.7 | 18.5 | 3.5 | 5.2 |
| Derrick Talton Jr. | 31.5 | 6.5 | 2.8 | 3.9 |
| Tim Oboh | 24.1 | 8.5 | 6.1 | 0.2 |
| Mikhail Pocknett | 15.7 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 0.5 |
| Ezra McKenna | 14.2 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justice Williams | 30.7 | 15.3 | 3.8 | 2.1 |
| EJ Ryans | 27.0 | 7.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| Brady Swartz | 26.1 | 8.9 | 5.5 | 0.2 |
| Jayden Brewer | 25.3 | 13.3 | 6.4 | 0.9 |
| Max Burton | 23.0 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 0.9 |
| Jalen Griffith | 17.6 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 2.3 |
| Trey Lewis | 17.3 | 7.7 | 2.4 | 0.3 |
| Carson Vis | 14.7 | 6.4 | 2.4 | 0.5 |
BUF offenseper gameWMU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
BUFForAgainst44% of BUF's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
WMUForAgainst44% of WMU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
BUF 7series3 WMU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | BUF 88 | WMU 71 | BUF+17 | +17 |
| Feb 18, 2025 | WMU 97 | BUF 64 | WMU+33 | +33 |
| Jan 18, 2025 | BUF 85 | WMU 76 | BUF+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | BUF 72 | WMU 91 | WMU+19 | +19 |
| Jan 6, 2024 | WMU 82 | BUF 77 | WMU+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2023 | BUF 85 | WMU 76 | BUF+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | WMU 73 | BUF 87 | BUF+14 | +14 |
| Jan 11, 2022 | BUF 78 | WMU 64 | BUF+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2021 | WMU 54 | BUF 86 | BUF+32 | +32 |
| Jan 12, 2021 | BUF 85 | WMU 69 | BUF+16 | +16 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | BUF15-15 · last 30 games | WMU9-21 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 45.5%#292 of 361 | 48.2%#66 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | +1.9#59 of 361 | −0.2#273 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 114.8#77 of 361 | 106.7#236 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +0.7#155 of 361 | −9.7#300 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.