Santa Clara (25-8 in 2025–26) hosts Fresno State (12-19 in 2025–26) on Dec 2, 2026.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
FRES offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · SCU defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin)
SCU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · FRES defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
DeShawn Gory's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Heidbreder | 37.1 | 15.6 | 3.0 | 2.1 |
| DeShawn Gory | 34.4 | 17.1 | 7.6 | 2.6 |
| Wilson Jacques | 29.6 | 9.7 | 9.0 | 0.7 |
| Zaon Collins | 27.3 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 |
| David Douglas Jr. | 26.3 | 11.1 | 1.9 | 0.4 |
| Bastien Rieber | 23.1 | 5.7 | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| Cameron Faas | 17.2 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 0.3 |
| DJ Stickman | 13.8 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Hammond | 30.9 | 15.3 | 2.4 | 2.2 |
| Elijah Mahi | 30.0 | 12.9 | 5.1 | 2.6 |
| Jake Ensminger | 28.6 | 5.9 | 4.7 | 2.1 |
| Allen Graves | 22.8 | 14.3 | 6.3 | 1.7 |
| Sash Gavalyugov | 20.9 | 9.1 | 1.5 | 3.0 |
| Brenton Knapper | 19.1 | 6.9 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| Bukky Oboye | 17.4 | 7.1 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| Thierry Darlan | 15.9 | 5.6 | 2.9 | 0.5 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
47% of FRES's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
46% of SCU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | SCU+15 | +15 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2021 | FRES+7 | +7 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | FRES12-18 · last 30 games | SCU22-8 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 105.7#257 of 361 | 119.5#24 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −8.0#245 of 361 | +16.5#16 of 361 | −0.5 |
| 1st half points for | 33.6#234 of 361 | 39.9#21 of 361 | 34.8 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −1.7#201 of 361 | +13.4#26 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.