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Purdue Fort Wayne (14-15 in 2025–26) hosts Detroit Mercy (15-15 in 2025–26) on Dec 2, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
DETM offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · PFW defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
PFW offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · DETM defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
DETMPFW
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
DETMPFWNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Corey Hadnot II's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Lovejoy | 33.1 | 19.0 | 3.9 | 3.5 |
| Tyler Spratt | 31.1 | 12.6 | 4.6 | 2.2 |
| Legend Geeter | 30.1 | 10.2 | 7.5 | 2.8 |
| TJ Nadeau | 29.0 | 14.7 | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| Ryan Kalambay | 25.6 | 5.3 | 7.0 | 0.4 |
| Lance Stone | 22.9 | 7.3 | 1.1 | 2.5 |
| London Maiden | 14.8 | 5.6 | 2.8 | 0.5 |
| Je'kel Cotton | 7.2 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 0.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hadnot II | 34.9 | 20.5 | 3.7 | 4.1 |
| Mikale Stevenson | 30.9 | 13.3 | 3.6 | 2.7 |
| Maximus Nelson | 29.9 | 8.4 | 4.5 | 0.9 |
| DeAndre Craig Jr. | 29.1 | 12.8 | 3.1 | 2.4 |
| Darius Duffy | 19.8 | 4.5 | 4.1 | 0.5 |
| Deangelo Elisee | 16.5 | 5.7 | 3.3 | 0.4 |
| Chris Morgan | 13.7 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| EJ Mosley | 11.8 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
DETM offenseper gamePFW defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
DETMForAgainst48% of DETM's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
PFWForAgainst47% of PFW's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
DETM 4series6 PFW| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | PFW 83 | DETM 76 | PFW+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | DETM 77 | PFW 81 | PFW+4 | +4 |
| Jan 11, 2025 | DETM 67 | PFW 90 | PFW+23 | +23 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2024 | PFW 78 | DETM 79 | DETM+1 | +1 |
| Feb 17, 2024 | PFW 83 | DETM 69 | PFW+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2023 | DETM 56 | PFW 91 | PFW+35 | +35 |
| Feb 28, 2023 | PFW 68 | DETM 81 | DETM+13 | +13 |
| Feb 4, 2023 | PFW 52 | DETM 85 | DETM+33 | +33 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2022 | DETM 75 | PFW 66 | DETM+9 | +9 |
| Feb 26, 2022 | PFW 81 | DETM 78 | PFW+3 | +3 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | DETM15-15 · last 30 games | PFW14-16 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 44.9%#331 of 361 | 49.2%#23 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 47.2%#143 of 361 | 45.1%#318 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 110.5#146 of 361 | 107.7#216 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −3.5#224 of 361 | −6.7#267 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.