USC (17-14 in 2025–26) hosts Washington (16-17 in 2025–26) on Dec 2, 2026.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
WASH offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · USC defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
USC offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · WASH defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Hannes Steinbach's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannes Steinbach | 36.7 | 19.3 | 12.5 | 1.5 |
| Wesley Yates III | 33.9 | 12.5 | 3.1 | 1.6 |
| Zoom Diallo | 32.7 | 16.5 | 4.9 | 5.5 |
| Quimari Peterson | 30.5 | 8.5 | 2.7 | 2.4 |
| Bryson Tucker | 21.3 | 4.6 | 3.3 | 0.1 |
| Franck Kepnang | 21.3 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 0.1 |
| Courtland Muldrew | 17.7 | 4.8 | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| JJ Mandaquit | 17.0 | 5.0 | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kam Woods | 33.5 | 10.9 | 4.5 | 4.3 |
| Jacob Cofie | 32.4 | 10.1 | 7.4 | 2.1 |
| Ezra Ausar | 31.9 | 12.9 | 7.3 | 1.6 |
| Chad Baker-Mazara | 28.0 | 17.2 | 3.8 | 1.9 |
| Alijah Arenas | 27.6 | 14.1 | 2.9 | 2.1 |
| Jordan Marsh | 18.5 | 8.0 | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| Jerry Easter II | 16.1 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 0.5 |
| Gabe Dynes | 11.0 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.4 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
46% of WASH's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
49% of USC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | WASH+4 | +4 | ||
| Mar 4, 2026 | WASH+19 | +19 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | WASH+8 | +8 | ||
| Mar 5, 2025 | USC+31 | +31 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | USC+24 | +24 | ||
| Mar 13, 2024 | USC+6 | +6 | ||
| Mar 2, 2024 | USC+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2023 | USC+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2022 | USC+13 | +13 | ||
| Mar 10, 2022 | USC+4 | +4 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | WASH14-16 · last 30 games | USC16-14 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 48.5%#49 of 361 | 45.6%#288 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Possessions per game | 67.8#200 of 361 | 71.3#29 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −1.2#100 of 361 | 0.0#268 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 113.0#98 of 361 | 108.5#197 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.