Providence (15-18 in 2025–26) hosts Stonehill (9-20 in 2025–26) on Dec 1, 2026.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
STO offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · PROV defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
PROV offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · STO defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin) · 1 even
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Jaylin Sellers's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hermann Koffi | 36.6 | 10.7 | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| Davante Hackett | 30.7 | 14.9 | 4.3 | 1.8 |
| Chas Stinson | 30.7 | 12.6 | 5.3 | 1.5 |
| Rex Sunderland | 27.9 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 3.1 |
| Ridvan Tutic | 23.4 | 6.6 | 8.1 | 0.6 |
| Ethan Meuser | 22.9 | 7.4 | 6.1 | 1.5 |
| Raymond Espinal-Guzman | 19.7 | 3.7 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| Trenton Ruth | 11.0 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefan Vaaks | 33.0 | 17.3 | 2.3 | 3.2 |
| Jaylin Sellers | 32.7 | 22.0 | 4.5 | 1.7 |
| Ryan Mela | 30.5 | 11.8 | 5.9 | 1.8 |
| Jamier Jones | 30.3 | 11.7 | 5.1 | 1.3 |
| Oswin Erhunmwunse | 27.7 | 6.1 | 9.5 | 0.9 |
| Jason Edwards | 24.4 | 14.9 | 2.6 | 2.3 |
| Corey Floyd Jr. | 22.4 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 2.3 |
| Duncan Powell | 14.6 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 0.5 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
43% of STO's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
45% of PROV's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | PROV+27 | +27 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2022 | PROV+24 | +24 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | STO9-21 · last 30 games | PROV13-17 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points for | 34.7#344 of 361 | 46.4#5 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 69.6#333 of 361 | 79.4#32 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 93.9#357 of 361 | 115.6#68 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 104.1#305 of 361 | 115.0#60 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.