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Saint Mary's (26-5 in 2025–26) hosts Hofstra (22-10 in 2025–26) on Dec 1, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
HOF offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · SMC defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
SMC offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · HOF defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
HOFSMC
Expected pace: about 65 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
HOFSMCNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Paulius Murauskas's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruz Davis | 37.7 | 18.0 | 3.7 | 4.2 |
| Preston Edmead | 34.8 | 16.9 | 4.4 | 4.7 |
| German Plotnikov | 32.7 | 10.0 | 3.5 | 0.7 |
| Joshua DeCady | 25.5 | 7.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| Silas Sunday | 23.2 | 5.1 | 8.0 | 0.6 |
| Biggie Patterson | 22.1 | 9.8 | 6.0 | 0.4 |
| Victory Onuetu | 13.5 | 3.3 | 5.3 | 0.3 |
| Joshua Aaron Reaves | 13.0 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 0.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dent | 37.7 | 13.7 | 2.2 | 6.3 |
| Paulius Murauskas | 32.8 | 18.3 | 7.7 | 2.1 |
| Dillan Shaw | 32.7 | 7.3 | 6.0 | 1.8 |
| Mikey Lewis | 27.0 | 15.4 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Andrew McKeever | 22.0 | 7.9 | 9.3 | 1.9 |
| Harry Wessels | 17.8 | 4.5 | 5.7 | 0.8 |
| Liam Campbell | 12.1 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 |
| Rory Hawke | 9.0 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
HOF offenseper gameSMC defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
HOFForAgainst50% of HOF's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
SMCForAgainst49% of SMC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
HOF 0series1 SMC| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2022 | HOF 48 | SMC 76 | SMC+28 | +28 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | HOF22-8 · last 30 games | SMC25-5 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points for | 74.4#176 of 361 | 77.4#102 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Possessions per game | 64.6#331 of 361 | 65.8#288 of 361 | 68.0 |
The 2 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.