Loading the game…
⌘K
UCF (21-11 in 2025–26) hosts Jacksonville (10-18 in 2025–26) on Dec 1, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
JAX offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · UCF defense in 2
UCF offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · JAX defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
JAXUCF
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
JAXUCFNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Hayden Wood's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Wood | 31.9 | 16.1 | 2.9 | 1.6 |
| Jason Thirdkill Jr. | 26.9 | 8.8 | 6.6 | 0.6 |
| Chris Lockett Jr. | 26.8 | 9.9 | 3.1 | 1.9 |
| Jaylen Jones | 26.5 | 8.7 | 4.1 | 2.7 |
| Evan Sterck | 25.3 | 6.7 | 1.9 | 2.6 |
| Donovan Rivers | 20.9 | 9.1 | 4.1 | 0.6 |
| Allen Udemadu | 13.6 | 5.1 | 2.9 | 0.3 |
| Chris Arias | 12.3 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Themus Fulks | 33.9 | 14.2 | 2.7 | 5.9 |
| Jordan Burks | 32.1 | 13.6 | 5.6 | 0.7 |
| Jamichael Stillwell | 30.2 | 10.8 | 8.1 | 2.9 |
| Riley Kugel | 29.3 | 14.2 | 2.8 | 2.3 |
| John Bol | 22.6 | 6.7 | 6.9 | 0.3 |
| Chris Johnson | 18.5 | 6.9 | 1.5 | 2.1 |
| Devan Cambridge | 16.1 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 0.5 |
| Carmelo Pacheco | 14.0 | 4.2 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
JAX offenseper gameUCF defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
JAXForAgainst50% of JAX's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UCFForAgainst46% of UCF's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
JAX 0series3 UCF| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | JAX 66 | UCF 86 | UCF+20 | +20 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2023 | JAX 52 | UCF 94 | UCF+42 | +42 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2021 | JAX 54 | UCF 63 | UCF+9 | +9 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | JAX11-19 · last 30 games | UCF20-10 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possessions per game | 64.7#327 of 361 | 70.3#59 of 361 | 68.0 |
| 2nd half points for | 36.8#295 of 361 | 42.8#50 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −9.6#267 of 361 | +9.1#94 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −7.2#274 of 361 | +4.2#108 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.