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Northwestern (15-19 in 2025–26) hosts Wisconsin (24-10 in 2025–26) on Dec 1, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
WIS offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · NU defense in 1
NU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · WIS defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
WISNU
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
WISNUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Nick Martinelli's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Blackwell | 35.8 | 19.7 | 5.1 | 2.4 |
| Nick Boyd | 35.5 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 |
| Nolan Winter | 33.0 | 11.5 | 8.3 | 1.1 |
| Andrew Rohde | 28.4 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 2.9 |
| Austin Rapp | 23.8 | 10.6 | 4.5 | 1.3 |
| Braeden Carrington | 22.7 | 9.9 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| Aleksas Bieliauskas | 22.5 | 5.3 | 4.7 | 1.0 |
| Jack Janicki | 13.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinelli | 37.1 | 22.3 | 5.5 | 2.3 |
| Jake West | 31.6 | 8.1 | 1.1 | 4.0 |
| Tre Singleton | 26.4 | 7.9 | 5.1 | 1.4 |
| Jayden Reid | 25.3 | 8.4 | 0.9 | 4.5 |
| Angelo Ciaravino | 22.3 | 6.5 | 3.9 | 0.9 |
| Arrinten Page | 19.0 | 6.4 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| Jordan Clayton | 18.2 | 5.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Max Green | 17.0 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
WIS offenseper gameNU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
WISForAgainst46% of WIS's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
NUForAgainst47% of NU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
WIS 8series2 NU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025 | NU 73 | WIS 85 | WIS+12 | +12 |
| Mar 13, 2025 | NU 63 | WIS 70 | WIS+7 | +7 |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WIS 75 | NU 69 | WIS+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2024 | WIS 70 | NU 61 | WIS+9 | +9 |
| Jan 13, 2024 | NU 63 | WIS 71 | WIS+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2023 | NU 54 | WIS 52 | NU+2 | +2 |
| Jan 23, 2023 | WIS 63 | NU 66 | NU+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2022 | WIS 82 | NU 76 | WIS+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2021 | WIS 68 | NU 51 | WIS+17 | +17 |
| Jan 20, 2021 | NU 52 | WIS 68 | WIS+16 | +16 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | WIS20-10 · last 30 games | NU11-19 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 44.7%#335 of 361 | 48.6%#44 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Possessions per game | 69.2#108 of 361 | 64.6#329 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points for | 81.6#34 of 361 | 71.7#249 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +6.2#78 of 361 | −2.9#219 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.