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Fairfield (20-13 in 2025–26) hosts Central Connecticut (14-12 in 2025–26) on Nov 29, 2026, 2:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
CCSU offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · FAIR defense in 4 (2 by a clear margin)
FAIR offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · CCSU defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
CCSUFAIR
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
CCSUFAIRNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Darin Smith Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darin Smith Jr. | 34.3 | 20.5 | 5.6 | 1.2 |
| Max Frazier | 30.9 | 12.1 | 7.9 | 0.9 |
| Jay Rodgers | 30.1 | 11.3 | 2.0 | 5.7 |
| James Jones | 29.4 | 3.4 | 4.5 | 0.7 |
| Melo Sanchez | 26.8 | 9.6 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| Daniel James | 15.7 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 0.4 |
| Elijah Parker | 14.9 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| Roddy Jones | 11.1 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Sparks | 35.3 | 16.9 | 3.1 | 2.8 |
| Declan Wucherpfennig | 32.7 | 12.1 | 9.5 | 1.9 |
| Brandon Benjamin | 31.7 | 15.1 | 10.6 | 1.4 |
| Tony Williams | 24.7 | 7.5 | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| Halon Rawlins | 19.5 | 4.0 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| Eric Mejia | 19.0 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| Deuce Turner | 18.4 | 7.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Isaac Munkadi | 8.7 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 0.0 |
CCSU offenseper gameFAIR defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
CCSUForAgainst47% of CCSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
FAIRForAgainst47% of FAIR's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
CCSU 1series1 FAIR| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | FAIR 84 | CCSU 70 | FAIR+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2024 | CCSU 64 | FAIR 63 | CCSU+1 | +1 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | CCSU18-12 · last 30 games | FAIR19-11 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −2.6#128 of 361 | +2.1#238 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 67.1#353 of 361 | 68.6#264 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 108.1#205 of 361 | 110.8#142 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Possessions per game | 65.0#316 of 361 | 66.4#266 of 361 | 68.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Feb 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.