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Memphis (13-19 in 2025–26) and Dayton (23-11 in 2025–26) meet at a neutral site on Nov 29, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
DAY offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MEM defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
MEM offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · DAY defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
DAYMEM
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
DAYMEMNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Javon Bennett's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Bennett | 36.5 | 15.9 | 2.1 | 2.9 |
| De'Shayne Montgomery | 30.8 | 11.5 | 4.6 | 2.1 |
| Keonte Jones | 29.3 | 5.8 | 4.7 | 2.3 |
| Amaël L'Etang | 26.5 | 13.0 | 5.9 | 1.9 |
| Jordan Derkack | 23.0 | 11.2 | 4.8 | 1.8 |
| Jaiun Simon | 22.4 | 6.0 | 4.1 | 1.6 |
| Bryce Heard | 19.6 | 5.6 | 2.9 | 0.9 |
| Jacob Conner | 13.1 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dug McDaniel | 34.4 | 13.9 | 3.3 | 4.1 |
| Curtis Givens III | 28.5 | 9.6 | 2.5 | 2.8 |
| Julius Thedford | 22.5 | 8.9 | 4.8 | 0.7 |
| Zach Davis | 22.0 | 6.7 | 4.7 | 1.2 |
| Sincere Parker | 21.2 | 13.3 | 4.4 | 1.1 |
| Quante Berry | 20.2 | 7.0 | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| Aaron Bradshaw | 19.9 | 9.1 | 5.0 | 0.6 |
| Ashton Hardaway | 16.3 | 5.0 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
DAY offenseper gameMEM defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
DAYForAgainst50% of DAY's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MEMForAgainst45% of MEM's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
DAY 0series1 MEM| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2021 | DAY 60 | MEM 71 | MEM+11 | +11 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | DAY20-10 · last 30 games | MEM12-18 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 48.7%#34 of 361 | 45.8%#279 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Points against | 70.0#302 of 361 | 76.7#130 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Possessions per game | 67.9#189 of 361 | 71.2#32 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +5.3#89 of 361 | −2.2#206 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.