Drexel vs Mount St. Mary's — College Basketball, Nov 28, 2026

Mount St. Mary's (13-17 in 2025–26) hosts Drexel (16-16 in 2025–26) on Nov 28, 2026, 4:00 PM ET.

Sat, Nov 28, 4:00 PM ETKnott Arena · Emmitsburg, MD

Drexel Dragons

2025–26: 16-16 · 4-12 on the road

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

2025–26: 13-17 · 7-5 at home

Lines post the day of the game.

OverviewPropsStatsHead to head

Market◇Market

Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.

Pro

Model's read

The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.

Winner

████ ▒▒▒██%

Start 7-day free trialSee the record

Checking your plan for the model's read…

What to knowiThree takeaways from the data below: the biggest mismatch, injuries or form, and the game setup.

Scoring margin

DREX −0.3 · MSM −3.5

Points scored minus allowed a game, 2025–26. Each team's own average, not a forecast.

Form

DREX 5-5 · MSM 6-4

Each team's record over its last ten games.

Rest

DREX 3d · MSM 3d

Days off before this game, from the schedule.

Offense vs defense: the four factorsiEach offense's league rank against the defense it faces in shooting, turnovers, rebounding and free throws; longer = better.◷History

ranks betterranks worseStronger72+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 361 (#1 = best)

DREX offensevsMSM defense

DREX offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · MSM defense in 4 (1 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%?Field-goal percentage with threes counted at 1.5; the defense's number is what it allows.

50.7%

#205

47.5%

Stronger#32

Turnovers · per 100 plays?Turnovers the offense commits (fewer is better) and the turnovers the defense forces.

16.5%

#311

13.4%

slight#266

Offensive rebounding %?Share of its own misses the offense rebounds; the defense's number is what it allows.

31.2%

#151

28.8%

slight#99

Free throw rate?Free throws made per field-goal attempt; the defense's number is what it allows.

21.0%

#314

28.4%

slight#275

MSM offensevsDREX defense

MSM offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · DREX defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%?Field-goal percentage with threes counted at 1.5; the defense's number is what it allows.

50.2%

#226

47.1%

Stronger#22

Turnovers · per 100 plays?Turnovers the offense commits (fewer is better) and the turnovers the defense forces.

19.4%

#357

14.2%

Stronger#202

Offensive rebounding %?Share of its own misses the offense rebounds; the defense's number is what it allows.

32.6%

#101Stronger

31.0%

#202

Free throw rate?Free throws made per field-goal attempt; the defense's number is what it allows.

22.7%

#258

26.6%

slight#232

Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.

Key numbers and mismatchesiHeadline ratings, then the biggest mismatches between one team's offense and the other's defense.◷History

DREXMSM

−0.4 185thNet rating?Points scored minus points allowed per 100 possessions249th −5.2

104.3 282ndOffensive rating?Points scored per 100 possessions327th 100.7

104.7 68thDefensive rating?Points allowed per 100 possessions (rank 1 = allows least)88th 105.9

64.5 334thPace?Possessions per game (rank 1 = fastest)228th 67.2

Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.

Where one side has the better of it

• 
  MSM offensive rebounding

  MSM offense 32.6% (101st) vs DREX defense allowing 31.0% (202nd)
  +101 spots

ContextiEach team's last ten days going into this game (filled = home, outline = road; travel distance is not tracked)◷History

last 10 days

TFSSMTWTFGame

DREX

JOES

PENN

MSM

3 days rest

TFSSMTWTFGame

MSM

WMU

MORG

DREX

3 days rest

homeroadday offthis gameFrom the schedule; travel distance is not tracked.

DREX · last 10

16-16 · 264 days rest

• Mar 8 @ MONM2025–26L 57–65
• Mar 7 vs NE2025–26W 84–77
• Mar 3 @ HOF2025–26L 51–62
• Feb 26 vs CAM2025–26W 65–60
• Feb 22 vs TOW2025–26W 68–62
• Feb 19 @ NE2025–26W 70–61
• Feb 16 @ STBK2025–26L 69–72
• Feb 12 vs MONM2025–26L 73–93
• Feb 7 @ ELON2025–26W 82–77
• Feb 5 @ CAM2025–26L 60–81

5-5 in these

MSM · last 10

13-17 · 265 days rest

• Mar 7 @ SIE2025–26L 58–63
• Mar 1 @ FAIR2025–26W 69–47
• Feb 27 @ SHU2025–26L 69–77
• Feb 22 vs CAN2025–26W 68–47
• Feb 20 vs NIA2025–26W 76–63
• Feb 13 @ RID2025–26W 65–55
• Feb 7 @ IONA2025–26W 83–76
• Feb 5 vs MRMK2025–26L 70–87
• Feb 1 vs MAN2025–26W 72–65
• Jan 30 @ SPU2025–26L 58–66

6-4 in these

From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.