Towson (17-15 in 2025–26) and Buffalo (15-15 in 2025–26) meet at a neutral site on Nov 28, 2026.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
BUF offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · TOW defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
TOW offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · BUF defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 65 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Ryan Sabol's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sabol | 38.2 | 20.9 | 3.9 | 3.4 |
| Angelo Brizzi | 33.2 | 18.1 | 3.1 | 2.4 |
| Noah Batchelor | 32.6 | 7.9 | 4.7 | 1.3 |
| Daniel Freitag | 31.7 | 18.5 | 3.5 | 5.2 |
| Derrick Talton Jr. | 31.5 | 6.5 | 2.8 | 3.9 |
| Tim Oboh | 24.1 | 8.5 | 6.1 | 0.2 |
| Mikhail Pocknett | 15.7 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 0.5 |
| Ezra McKenna | 14.2 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Williamson | 36.8 | 15.1 | 2.8 | 3.6 |
| Tyler Tejada | 36.5 | 19.4 | 5.4 | 2.1 |
| Jack Doumbia Jr. | 25.9 | 11.2 | 5.7 | 2.4 |
| Caleb Embeya | 21.7 | 3.5 | 5.7 | 0.3 |
| Tyler Coleman | 21.7 | 4.6 | 3.7 | 0.2 |
| Jaquan Womack | 19.9 | 6.8 | 4.5 | 0.4 |
| Mor Seck | 16.5 | 2.7 | 4.1 | 0.1 |
| Ryan Conway | 12.8 | 4.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
44% of BUF's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
46% of TOW's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2020 | BUF+9 | +9 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | BUF15-15 · last 30 games | TOW16-14 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 79.4#44 of 361 | 67.0#343 of 361 | 74.3 |
| 2nd half points against | 42.0#75 of 361 | 34.8#344 of 361 | 39.7 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 114.1#79 of 361 | 105.5#288 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 114.8#77 of 361 | 106.8#229 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.