Loading the game…
⌘K
George Washington (17-15 in 2025–26) hosts UMBC (22-8 in 2025–26) on Nov 27, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UMBC offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · GW defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
GW offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · UMBC defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
UMBCGW
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
UMBCGWNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Rafael Castro's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace Valentine | 33.1 | 13.3 | 3.5 | 3.3 |
| DJ Armstrong Jr. | 31.6 | 13.2 | 3.1 | 1.5 |
| Jah'Likai King | 31.0 | 12.5 | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| Jose Roberto Tanchyn | 24.3 | 8.1 | 8.6 | 0.9 |
| Josh Odunowo | 23.4 | 10.3 | 5.3 | 1.0 |
| Caden Diggs | 21.8 | 9.6 | 3.7 | 1.0 |
| Riley Jacobs | 12.7 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 0.3 |
| Cougar Downing | 11.5 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Castro | 31.0 | 13.4 | 9.4 | 1.8 |
| Trey Autry | 30.5 | 10.7 | 4.0 | 1.1 |
| Christian Jones | 29.1 | 9.3 | 3.4 | 3.0 |
| Jean Aranguren | 27.4 | 9.1 | 5.0 | 3.9 |
| Tyrone Marshall Jr. | 24.7 | 9.9 | 4.5 | 1.9 |
| Luke Hunger | 24.7 | 11.2 | 6.0 | 1.1 |
| Garrett Johnson | 23.0 | 9.8 | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| Tre Dinkins | 17.2 | 6.2 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
UMBC offenseper gameGW defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
UMBCForAgainst48% of UMBC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
GWForAgainst50% of GW's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
UMBC 1series1 GW| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 | UMBC 52 | GW 89 | GW+37 | +37 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2020 | GW 81 | UMBC 92 | UMBC+11 | +11 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UMBC22-8 · last 30 games | GW15-15 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points against | 36.3#327 of 361 | 40.3#151 of 361 | 39.7 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 46.6%#195 of 361 | 49.0%#21 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Possessions per game | 66.4#267 of 361 | 69.2#109 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 102.4#328 of 361 | 108.4#228 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.