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UC Davis (17-14 in 2025–26) and Pacific (16-15 in 2025–26) meet at a neutral site on Nov 27, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
PAC offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · UCD defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
UCD offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · PAC defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
PACUCD
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
PACUCDNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Elias Ralph's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias Ralph | 34.3 | 15.8 | 6.7 | 1.9 |
| TJ Wainwright | 33.3 | 12.9 | 4.6 | 1.6 |
| Jaden Clayton | 31.6 | 7.3 | 4.3 | 6.9 |
| Justin Rochelin | 30.1 | 10.5 | 7.0 | 1.2 |
| Isaac Jack | 21.5 | 9.1 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| Jaion Pitt | 18.3 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 0.2 |
| Kajus Kublickas | 16.7 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 2.9 |
| KC Ibekwe | 10.1 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Sevilla | 31.1 | 12.8 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Carl Daughtery Jr. | 29.8 | 9.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 |
| Brayden Fagbemi | 28.3 | 6.9 | 3.6 | 4.1 |
| Marcus Wilson | 27.4 | 14.9 | 3.1 | 4.3 |
| Niko Rocak | 23.9 | 8.3 | 5.0 | 1.6 |
| Isaiah Chappell | 23.2 | 7.1 | 4.3 | 0.6 |
| Nils Cooper | 20.6 | 8.8 | 3.8 | 1.5 |
| Jalen Stokes | 15.9 | 6.3 | 3.2 | 0.6 |
PAC offenseper gameUCD defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
PACForAgainst48% of PAC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UCDForAgainst47% of UCD's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
PAC 1series3 UCD| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | UCD 82 | PAC 61 | UCD+21 | +21 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2022 | PAC 74 | UCD 72 | PAC+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2021 | UCD 77 | PAC 67 | UCD+10 | +10 |
| Dec 1, 2021 | PAC 57 | UCD 63 | UCD+6 | +6 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | PAC16-14 · last 30 games | UCD16-14 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possessions per game | 65.4#301 of 361 | 71.1#34 of 361 | 68.0 |
| 2nd half points against | 36.8#310 of 361 | 41.9#76 of 361 | 39.7 |
| 2nd half points for | 37.4#278 of 361 | 40.6#137 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +2.4#130 of 361 | −0.5#180 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.