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St. Thomas (21-9 in 2025–26) and Liberty (22-7 in 2025–26) meet at a neutral site on Nov 27, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
LIB offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · STMN defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
STMN offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · LIB defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
LIBSTMN
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
LIBSTMNNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Nolan Minessale's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Metheny | 35.9 | 13.7 | 3.4 | 3.3 |
| Zach Cleveland | 35.7 | 12.6 | 6.8 | 6.1 |
| Colin Porter | 35.5 | 11.7 | 3.3 | 3.5 |
| Brett Decker Jr. | 35.3 | 15.9 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| JJ Harper | 26.9 | 10.7 | 2.7 | 1.5 |
| Josh Smith | 15.1 | 6.7 | 3.3 | 0.4 |
| Zander Carter | 11.7 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| Ryan Jones Jr. | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Janowski | 32.9 | 17.2 | 4.8 | 2.2 |
| Nolan Minessale | 31.9 | 19.3 | 4.8 | 4.1 |
| Carter Bjerke | 26.0 | 9.9 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
| Austin Herro | 25.5 | 5.5 | 4.9 | 4.8 |
| Ben Oosterbaan | 24.9 | 8.7 | 4.7 | 1.5 |
| Isaiah Johnson-Arigu | 21.2 | 9.4 | 3.9 | 1.3 |
| Ryan Dufault | 18.5 | 6.7 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Hayden Tibbits | 13.4 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
LIB offenseper gameSTMN defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
LIBForAgainst47% of LIB's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
STMNForAgainst48% of STMN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
No meetings yet on record between these two teams.
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | LIB23-7 · last 30 games | STMN21-9 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possessions per game | 64.6#330 of 361 | 69.0#122 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 111.5#149 of 361 | 106.2#276 of 361 | 109.9 |
| 2nd half points for | 39.7#167 of 361 | 42.3#58 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 72.0#303 of 361 | 71.5#201 of 361 | 74.8 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.