Loading the game…
⌘K
Iowa (21-12 in 2025–26) hosts UMBC (22-8 in 2025–26) on Nov 24, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UMBC offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · IOWA defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
IOWA offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · UMBC defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
UMBCIOWA
Expected pace: about 65 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
UMBCIOWANo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Bennett Stirtz's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace Valentine | 33.1 | 13.3 | 3.5 | 3.3 |
| DJ Armstrong Jr. | 31.6 | 13.2 | 3.1 | 1.5 |
| Jah'Likai King | 31.0 | 12.5 | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| Jose Roberto Tanchyn | 24.3 | 8.1 | 8.6 | 0.9 |
| Josh Odunowo | 23.4 | 10.3 | 5.3 | 1.0 |
| Caden Diggs | 21.8 | 9.6 | 3.7 | 1.0 |
| Riley Jacobs | 12.7 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 0.3 |
| Cougar Downing | 11.5 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennett Stirtz | 39.9 | 22.2 | 2.6 | 3.9 |
| Cooper Koch | 30.5 | 8.3 | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| Tavion Banks | 25.7 | 10.3 | 4.9 | 1.0 |
| Kael Combs | 24.0 | 5.3 | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| Alvaro Folgueiras | 22.5 | 8.0 | 3.7 | 2.7 |
| Cam Manyawu | 20.5 | 6.5 | 4.3 | 1.0 |
| Isaia Howard | 18.7 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| Tate Sage | 13.5 | 4.7 | 1.4 | 0.2 |
UMBC offenseper gameIOWA defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
UMBCForAgainst48% of UMBC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
IOWAForAgainst47% of IOWA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
UMBC 0series1 IOWA| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2023 | UMBC 81 | IOWA 103 | IOWA+22 | +22 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UMBC22-8 · last 30 games | IOWA18-12 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 46.5%#209 of 361 | 44.6%#341 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Possessions per game | 66.4#267 of 361 | 62.6#361 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 75.5#101 of 361 | 77.7#156 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 113.6#90 of 361 | 118.3#37 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.