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Morgan State (11-16 in 2025–26) hosts Mount St. Mary's (13-17 in 2025–26) on Nov 24, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MSM offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · MORG defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
MORG offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MSM defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MSMMORG
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
MSMMORGNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Alfred Worrell Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Lipscomb | 31.2 | 8.1 | 4.2 | 3.5 |
| Arlandus Keyes | 30.9 | 13.3 | 3.7 | 3.2 |
| Trey Deveaux | 26.7 | 11.1 | 4.1 | 0.9 |
| Luke McEldon | 25.9 | 12.3 | 6.4 | 1.5 |
| Abdou Khadre Kébé | 25.1 | 7.8 | 7.1 | 0.9 |
| Anthony Arrington | 18.9 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| Justin Amadi | 18.0 | 5.3 | 3.2 | 0.3 |
| Mason So | 9.9 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Davis | 37.4 | 14.0 | 3.7 | 6.3 |
| Rob Lawson | 34.1 | 11.9 | 4.0 | 3.1 |
| Alfred Worrell Jr. | 31.8 | 19.3 | 4.6 | 1.5 |
| Christian Meeks | 29.1 | 5.5 | 6.0 | 0.6 |
| Eugene Alvin | 20.6 | 9.3 | 3.9 | 0.5 |
| Marland Harris | 19.7 | 5.1 | 6.1 | 0.4 |
| Walter Peggs Jr. | 18.7 | 9.3 | 2.3 | 0.2 |
| Christian Oliver | 16.0 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 0.5 |
MSM offenseper gameMORG defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
MSMForAgainst46% of MSM's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MORGForAgainst45% of MORG's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MSM 2series0 MORG| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2021 | MORG 60 | MSM 74 | MSM+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2020 | MSM 62 | MORG 55 | MSM+7 | +7 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MSM13-17 · last 30 games | MORG12-18 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points against | 71.2#276 of 361 | 79.7#46 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 47.2%#140 of 361 | 44.5%#344 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Possessions per game | 67.2#225 of 361 | 70.6#52 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 105.9#279 of 361 | 112.9#112 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.