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Northwestern (15-19 in 2025–26) and Dayton (23-11 in 2025–26) meet at a neutral site on Nov 22, 2026, 1:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
DAY offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · NU defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
NU offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · DAY defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin) · 1 even
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
DAYNU
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
DAYNUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Nick Martinelli's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Bennett | 36.5 | 15.9 | 2.1 | 2.9 |
| De'Shayne Montgomery | 30.8 | 11.5 | 4.6 | 2.1 |
| Keonte Jones | 29.3 | 5.8 | 4.7 | 2.3 |
| Amaël L'Etang | 26.5 | 13.0 | 5.9 | 1.9 |
| Jordan Derkack | 23.0 | 11.2 | 4.8 | 1.8 |
| Jaiun Simon | 22.4 | 6.0 | 4.1 | 1.6 |
| Bryce Heard | 19.6 | 5.6 | 2.9 | 0.9 |
| Jacob Conner | 13.1 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinelli | 37.1 | 22.3 | 5.5 | 2.3 |
| Jake West | 31.6 | 8.1 | 1.1 | 4.0 |
| Tre Singleton | 26.4 | 7.9 | 5.1 | 1.4 |
| Jayden Reid | 25.3 | 8.4 | 0.9 | 4.5 |
| Angelo Ciaravino | 22.3 | 6.5 | 3.9 | 0.9 |
| Arrinten Page | 19.0 | 6.4 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| Jordan Clayton | 18.2 | 5.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Max Green | 17.0 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
DAY offenseper gameNU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
DAYForAgainst50% of DAY's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
NUForAgainst47% of NU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
DAY 1series1 NU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | NU 66 | DAY 71 | DAY+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2023 | DAY 66 | NU 71 | NU+5 | +5 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | DAY20-10 · last 30 games | NU11-19 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 103.1#320 of 361 | 113.8#85 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 48.7%#34 of 361 | 46.4%#214 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Possessions per game | 67.9#189 of 361 | 64.6#329 of 361 | 68.0 |
| 1st half points against | 33.1#274 of 361 | 35.8#139 of 361 | 35.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.