VMI (2-26 in 2025–26) hosts Gardner-Webb (2-27 in 2025–26) on Nov 21, 2026.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
GWEB offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · VMI defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
VMI offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · GWEB defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
TJ Johnson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Hudson | 28.9 | 11.3 | 3.6 | 1.4 |
| Jacob Hogarth | 27.0 | 10.9 | 6.9 | 1.5 |
| Colin Hawkins | 26.5 | 8.4 | 1.9 | 2.0 |
| Ace Talbert | 25.9 | 6.9 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Spence Sims | 24.1 | 8.5 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| Jamias Ferere | 23.4 | 8.7 | 4.2 | 0.7 |
| DJ Jefferson | 17.5 | 7.5 | 3.2 | 0.6 |
| Curtis Williams III | 15.4 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Johnson | 38.5 | 17.4 | 7.1 | 1.1 |
| Tan Yildizoglu | 34.7 | 11.7 | 4.0 | 5.7 |
| AJ Clark | 31.0 | 7.5 | 4.8 | 1.2 |
| Linus Holmstrom | 27.6 | 12.9 | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| Cal Liston | 26.9 | 6.8 | 3.1 | 1.1 |
| Mario Tatum Jr. | 26.5 | 6.7 | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| Kaden Stuckey | 22.3 | 7.2 | 5.3 | 0.5 |
| Walker Andrews | 11.9 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
46% of GWEB's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
45% of VMI's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2021 | VMI+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2020 | GWEB+11 | +11 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | GWEB2-28 · last 30 games | VMI3-27 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possessions per game | 69.9#80 of 361 | 66.1#276 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 46.3%#222 of 361 | 47.6%#106 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 49.8%#9 of 361 | 47.8%#98 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 94.2#356 of 361 | 102.7#304 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.