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Milwaukee (11-20 in 2025–26) hosts St. Thomas (21-9 in 2025–26) on Nov 21, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
STMN offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · MILW defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
MILW offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · STMN defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
STMNMILW
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
STMNMILWNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Nolan Minessale's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Janowski | 32.9 | 17.2 | 4.8 | 2.2 |
| Nolan Minessale | 31.9 | 19.3 | 4.8 | 4.1 |
| Carter Bjerke | 26.0 | 9.9 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
| Austin Herro | 25.5 | 5.5 | 4.9 | 4.8 |
| Ben Oosterbaan | 24.9 | 8.7 | 4.7 | 1.5 |
| Isaiah Johnson-Arigu | 21.2 | 9.4 | 3.9 | 1.3 |
| Ryan Dufault | 18.5 | 6.7 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Hayden Tibbits | 13.4 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Franklin | 32.3 | 9.7 | 7.7 | 1.7 |
| Stevie Elam | 30.3 | 11.3 | 5.3 | 0.9 |
| Chandler Jackson | 26.9 | 12.3 | 3.4 | 1.1 |
| Amar Augillard | 23.1 | 14.3 | 2.9 | 1.4 |
| Faizon Fields | 21.1 | 5.4 | 4.4 | 0.3 |
| Esyah Pippa-White | 19.9 | 4.3 | 1.9 | 2.9 |
| Josh Dixon | 19.7 | 8.6 | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| Isaiah Dorceus | 19.5 | 5.3 | 1.2 | 3.1 |
STMN offenseper gameMILW defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
STMNForAgainst48% of STMN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MILWForAgainst46% of MILW's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
STMN 2series1 MILW| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2024 | STMN 65 | MILW 69 | MILW+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2023 | MILW 71 | STMN 75 | STMN+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2022 | STMN 76 | MILW 72 | STMN+4 | +4 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | STMN21-9 · last 30 games | MILW10-20 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 45.7%#280 of 361 | 50.0%#5 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Scoring margin | +8.6#30 of 361 | −5.6#283 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 106.2#276 of 361 | 117.2#26 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +12.4#34 of 361 | −8.2#284 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.