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Villanova (23-8 in 2025–26) hosts Michigan (31-3 in 2025–26) on Nov 21, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MICH offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · VILL defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
VILL offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MICH defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MICHVILL
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
MICHVILLNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Tyler Perkins's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel Lendeborg | 33.9 | 14.8 | 6.7 | 3.3 |
| Elliot Cadeau | 28.9 | 10.1 | 2.3 | 6.1 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. | 27.2 | 12.4 | 7.6 | 1.1 |
| Aday Mara | 23.4 | 12.5 | 6.7 | 2.3 |
| Trey McKenney | 23.1 | 9.1 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| Nimari Burnett | 19.1 | 7.8 | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| Roddy Gayle Jr. | 18.9 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 0.8 |
| L.J. Cason | 18.1 | 9.9 | 1.4 | 2.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Brennan | 33.1 | 12.3 | 9.9 | 2.3 |
| Tyler Perkins | 32.6 | 16.2 | 6.0 | 1.5 |
| Acaden Lewis | 31.0 | 11.9 | 2.6 | 5.1 |
| Bryce Lindsay | 26.7 | 8.2 | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| Matt Hodge | 25.3 | 7.3 | 2.8 | 0.6 |
| Devin Askew | 24.0 | 10.9 | 2.7 | 2.2 |
| Malachi Palmer | 22.7 | 6.1 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| Chris Jeffrey | 7.1 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
MICH offenseper gameVILL defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
MICHForAgainst48% of MICH's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
VILLForAgainst48% of VILL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MICH 1series1 VILL| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | VILL 61 | MICH 89 | MICH+28 | +28 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2022 | MICH 55 | VILL 63 | VILL+8 | +8 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MICH27-3 · last 30 games | VILL23-7 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 48.2%#69 of 361 | 45.5%#294 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Possessions per game | 70.1#73 of 361 | 66.5#255 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 49.8%#7 of 361 | 47.2%#132 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 98.4#354 of 361 | 106.2#275 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.