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UNC Greensboro (13-18 in 2025–26) hosts South Carolina Upstate (10-19 in 2025–26) on Nov 21, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UPST offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · UNCG defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
UNCG offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · UPST defense in 2
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
UPSTUNCG
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
UPSTUNCGNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Justin Neely's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Adkins | 35.5 | 14.0 | 4.9 | 2.3 |
| Karmani Gregory | 33.4 | 16.9 | 2.5 | 2.8 |
| Mason Bendinger | 32.2 | 13.0 | 4.5 | 1.3 |
| Isaiah Skinner | 24.2 | 5.9 | 3.5 | 1.7 |
| Learic Davis | 20.0 | 6.7 | 3.6 | 0.5 |
| Jafeth Martinez | 19.0 | 4.6 | 4.9 | 0.1 |
| Tyler Smith | 17.7 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 2.2 |
| Breylin Garcia | 14.9 | 7.1 | 4.6 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Neely | 32.9 | 20.2 | 11.7 | 1.9 |
| KJ Younger | 29.5 | 17.3 | 4.3 | 1.3 |
| Valentino Pinedo | 28.7 | 7.1 | 5.4 | 1.4 |
| Noah Norgaard | 28.7 | 8.8 | 2.7 | 2.2 |
| Lilian Marville | 28.4 | 8.8 | 1.5 | 3.3 |
| Donald Whitehead Jr. | 22.6 | 7.9 | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| Clinton Efinda | 17.3 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| Domas Kauzonas | 6.4 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.1 |
UPST offenseper gameUNCG defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
UPSTForAgainst44% of UPST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UNCGForAgainst46% of UNCG's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
UPST 0series1 UNCG| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2020 | UPST 57 | UNCG 65 | UNCG+8 | +8 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UPST10-20 · last 30 games | UNCG13-17 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 101.2#324 of 361 | 112.0#116 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 108.6#222 of 361 | 118.5#18 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 76.0#213 of 361 | 80.7#21 of 361 | 74.8 |
| 1st half points for | 31.2#310 of 361 | 35.7#130 of 361 | 34.8 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.