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Michigan State (25-7 in 2025–26) hosts Detroit Mercy (15-15 in 2025–26) on Nov 21, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
DETM offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MSU defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
MSU offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (4 by a clear margin) · DETM defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
DETMMSU
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
DETMMSUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Orlando Lovejoy's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Lovejoy | 33.1 | 19.0 | 3.9 | 3.5 |
| Tyler Spratt | 31.1 | 12.6 | 4.6 | 2.2 |
| Legend Geeter | 30.1 | 10.2 | 7.5 | 2.8 |
| TJ Nadeau | 29.0 | 14.7 | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| Ryan Kalambay | 25.6 | 5.3 | 7.0 | 0.4 |
| Lance Stone | 22.9 | 7.3 | 1.1 | 2.5 |
| London Maiden | 14.8 | 5.6 | 2.8 | 0.5 |
| Je'kel Cotton | 7.2 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 0.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Fears Jr. | 33.7 | 18.9 | 1.9 | 9.6 |
| Coen Carr | 30.2 | 11.9 | 5.7 | 1.1 |
| Carson Cooper | 28.1 | 11.5 | 6.9 | 1.3 |
| Jaxon Kohler | 27.3 | 10.7 | 7.9 | 1.4 |
| Jordan Scott | 25.2 | 7.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| Kur Teng | 18.9 | 7.8 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Divine Ugochukwu | 18.7 | 5.5 | 2.7 | 2.3 |
| Cam Ward | 15.9 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 0.3 |
DETM offenseper gameMSU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
DETMForAgainst48% of DETM's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MSUForAgainst43% of MSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
DETM 0series2 MSU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2025 | DETM 56 | MSU 84 | MSU+28 | +28 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2020 | DETM 76 | MSU 83 | MSU+7 | +7 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | DETM15-15 · last 30 games | MSU23-7 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points against | 43.4#28 of 361 | 36.0#330 of 361 | 39.7 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 114.1#80 of 361 | 102.9#323 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Scoring margin | −2.4#225 of 361 | +10.8#14 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −3.5#224 of 361 | +16.2#14 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.