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Arkansas (25-8 in 2025–26) hosts Mississippi Valley State (2-30 in 2025–26) on Nov 20, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MVSU offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · ARK defense in 4 (4 by a clear margin)
ARK offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (4 by a clear margin) · MVSU defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MVSUARK
Expected pace: about 71 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
MVSUARKNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Darius Acuff Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael James | 38.3 | 23.1 | 3.6 | 3.1 |
| Xzayvion Childress | 30.6 | 8.2 | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| Daniel Mayfield | 30.5 | 13.9 | 6.0 | 1.2 |
| Patrick Punch | 30.3 | 7.8 | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| X'Zaevion Barnett | 29.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 2.9 |
| Mussa Mzein | 19.1 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| Tyrone Iroghama | 11.7 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0.2 |
| Samuel Murray | 11.2 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Acuff Jr. | 37.9 | 27.4 | 3.4 | 7.0 |
| Trevon Brazile | 35.7 | 13.5 | 8.1 | 1.9 |
| Meleek Thomas | 33.8 | 15.5 | 4.0 | 1.9 |
| Billy Richmond III | 33.7 | 14.7 | 4.5 | 2.4 |
| Malique Ewin | 22.7 | 9.1 | 5.8 | 0.8 |
| D.J. Wagner | 22.2 | 7.1 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| Karter Knox | 18.0 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| Nick Pringle | 17.5 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 0.4 |
MVSU offenseper gameARK defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
MVSUForAgainst46% of MVSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
ARKForAgainst47% of ARK's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MVSU 0series1 ARK| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2020 | MVSU 62 | ARK 142 | ARK+80 | +80 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MVSU2-28 · last 30 games | ARK23-7 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 92.7#360 of 361 | 123.6#3 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Points for | 63.6#352 of 361 | 89.4#2 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −22.5#360 of 361 | +16.2#19 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −27.0#359 of 361 | +11.1#41 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.