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St. Thomas (21-9 in 2025–26) hosts Southeast Missouri State (13-12 in 2025–26) on Nov 19, 2026, 8:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
SEMO offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · STMN defense in 4 (4 by a clear margin)
STMN offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · SEMO defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
SEMOSTMN
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
SEMOSTMNNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Nolan Minessale's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BJ Ward | 31.4 | 11.3 | 2.1 | 3.6 |
| Braxton Stacker | 29.3 | 11.6 | 4.2 | 1.1 |
| Brendan Terry | 28.1 | 11.4 | 5.9 | 2.3 |
| Luke Almodovar | 27.3 | 13.3 | 4.1 | 0.6 |
| Marqueas Bell | 21.1 | 6.9 | 5.1 | 1.7 |
| Landren Blocker | 18.8 | 4.8 | 3.2 | 0.5 |
| Troy Cole Jr. | 14.0 | 4.7 | 2.7 | 0.7 |
| Blaize Sagna | 9.3 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Janowski | 32.9 | 17.2 | 4.8 | 2.2 |
| Nolan Minessale | 31.9 | 19.3 | 4.8 | 4.1 |
| Carter Bjerke | 26.0 | 9.9 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
| Austin Herro | 25.5 | 5.5 | 4.9 | 4.8 |
| Ben Oosterbaan | 24.9 | 8.7 | 4.7 | 1.5 |
| Isaiah Johnson-Arigu | 21.2 | 9.4 | 3.9 | 1.3 |
| Ryan Dufault | 18.5 | 6.7 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Hayden Tibbits | 13.4 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
SEMO offenseper gameSTMN defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
SEMOForAgainst49% of SEMO's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
STMNForAgainst48% of STMN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
SEMO 0series1 STMN| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | STMN 84 | SEMO 72 | STMN+12 | +12 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | SEMO16-14 · last 30 games | STMN21-9 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 104.2#284 of 361 | 118.6#33 of 361 | 109.2 |
| 2nd half points for | 37.3#281 of 361 | 42.3#58 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Scoring margin | +0.4#158 of 361 | +8.6#30 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +0.6#158 of 361 | +12.4#34 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Feb 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.