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St. Bonaventure (16-17 in 2025–26) hosts Buffalo (15-15 in 2025–26) on Nov 19, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
BUF offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · SBU defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
SBU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · BUF defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
BUFSBU
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
BUFSBUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Ryan Sabol's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sabol | 38.2 | 20.9 | 3.9 | 3.4 |
| Angelo Brizzi | 33.2 | 18.1 | 3.1 | 2.4 |
| Noah Batchelor | 32.6 | 7.9 | 4.7 | 1.3 |
| Daniel Freitag | 31.7 | 18.5 | 3.5 | 5.2 |
| Derrick Talton Jr. | 31.5 | 6.5 | 2.8 | 3.9 |
| Tim Oboh | 24.1 | 8.5 | 6.1 | 0.2 |
| Mikhail Pocknett | 15.7 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 0.5 |
| Ezra McKenna | 14.2 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dasonte Bowen | 37.3 | 13.6 | 2.7 | 4.9 |
| Darryl Simmons II | 36.3 | 17.3 | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| Cayden Charles | 35.0 | 12.9 | 6.6 | 2.3 |
| Frank Mitchell | 33.6 | 15.1 | 9.9 | 2.7 |
| Daniel Egbuniwe | 24.3 | 6.9 | 3.4 | 1.1 |
| Joe Grahovac | 16.9 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 0.9 |
| Andrew Osasuyi | 14.9 | 5.1 | 3.7 | 0.2 |
| Achille Lonati | 7.8 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
BUF offenseper gameSBU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
BUFForAgainst44% of BUF's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
SBUForAgainst45% of SBU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
BUF 1series4 SBU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | SBU 77 | BUF 69 | SBU+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | BUF 55 | SBU 65 | SBU+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2023 | SBU 80 | BUF 65 | SBU+15 | +15 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | SBU 66 | BUF 83 | BUF+17 | +17 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2021 | BUF 65 | SBU 68 | SBU+3 | +3 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | BUF15-15 · last 30 games | SBU13-17 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 45.5%#292 of 361 | 48.9%#28 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | +1.9#59 of 361 | +0.1#267 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 114.1#79 of 361 | 112.7#116 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 3 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.