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San José State (8-24 in 2025–26) hosts Fresno State (12-19 in 2025–26) on Nov 18, 2026, 9:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
FRES offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · SJSU defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
SJSU offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · FRES defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
FRESSJSU
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
FRESSJSUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Colby Garland's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Heidbreder | 37.1 | 15.6 | 3.0 | 2.1 |
| DeShawn Gory | 34.4 | 17.1 | 7.6 | 2.6 |
| Wilson Jacques | 29.6 | 9.7 | 9.0 | 0.7 |
| Zaon Collins | 27.3 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 |
| David Douglas Jr. | 26.3 | 11.1 | 1.9 | 0.4 |
| Bastien Rieber | 23.1 | 5.7 | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| Cameron Faas | 17.2 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 0.3 |
| DJ Stickman | 13.8 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colby Garland | 37.5 | 21.8 | 2.7 | 5.3 |
| Melvin Bell Jr. | 37.4 | 9.1 | 4.0 | 0.5 |
| Jermaine Washington | 35.3 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 2.4 |
| Adrian Myers | 32.7 | 13.5 | 5.9 | 1.3 |
| Pasha Goodarzi | 31.4 | 10.3 | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| Sadraque NgaNga | 26.3 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 0.6 |
| Japhet Moupadele | 12.6 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Marcus Overstreet | 11.6 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 0.4 |
FRES offenseper gameSJSU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
FRESForAgainst47% of FRES's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
SJSUForAgainst48% of SJSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
FRES 7series3 SJSU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | SJSU 68 | FRES 82 | FRES+14 | +14 |
| Jan 6, 2026 | FRES 70 | SJSU 55 | FRES+15 | +15 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | FRES 68 | SJSU 92 | SJSU+24 | +24 |
| Feb 4, 2025 | SJSU 94 | FRES 91 | SJSU+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024 | FRES 69 | SJSU 57 | FRES+12 | +12 |
| Jan 16, 2024 | SJSU 82 | FRES 85 | FRES+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2023 | SJSU 62 | FRES 70 | FRES+8 | +8 |
| Jan 10, 2023 | FRES 64 | SJSU 74 | SJSU+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2022 | SJSU 67 | FRES 69 | FRES+2 | +2 |
| Feb 1, 2022 | FRES 73 | SJSU 43 | FRES+30 | +30 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | FRES12-18 · last 30 games | SJSU8-22 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 107.4#250 of 361 | 120.8#9 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 46.3%#230 of 361 | 49.1%#16 of 361 | 46.8% |
| 1st half points against | 34.4#212 of 361 | 38.8#31 of 361 | 35.0 |
| Possessions per game | 68.7#140 of 361 | 65.3#307 of 361 | 68.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.