Troy (19-11 in 2025–26) hosts Cal State Northridge (18-14 in 2025–26) on Nov 17, 2026, 7:00 PM ET.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
CSUN offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · TROY defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin)
TROY offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups · CSUN defense in 1
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 72 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Josiah Davis's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua O'Garro | 34.1 | 14.8 | 8.7 | 2.7 |
| Josiah Davis | 33.8 | 17.6 | 5.5 | 8.9 |
| Larry Hughes II | 33.1 | 16.8 | 3.1 | 0.7 |
| Mahmoud Fofana | 30.2 | 11.8 | 7.9 | 1.4 |
| Jordan Brinson | 20.3 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 1.7 |
| James Evans Jr. | 17.7 | 6.7 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Grady Lewis | 11.6 | 5.4 | 3.0 | 0.3 |
| Davius Loury | 10.9 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Dowd | 37.4 | 14.0 | 10.1 | 2.4 |
| Cooper Campbell | 34.3 | 11.9 | 3.1 | 3.1 |
| Victor Valdes | 29.3 | 13.6 | 4.3 | 4.9 |
| Cobi Campbell | 27.9 | 7.1 | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| Theo Seng | 26.7 | 12.2 | 6.4 | 0.6 |
| Jerrell Bellamy | 22.2 | 11.4 | 3.4 | 0.7 |
| Austin Cross | 16.5 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.3 |
| Kerrington Kiel | 15.2 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 1.1 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
46% of CSUN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
46% of TROY's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | CSUN+9 | +9 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | CSUN17-13 · last 30 games | TROY19-11 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 47.8%#88 of 361 | 44.9%#326 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 85.1#27 of 361 | 68.7#261 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 108.0#210 of 361 | 113.6#91 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Possessions per game | 75.0#2 of 361 | 69.0#120 of 361 | 68.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.