Loading the game…
⌘K
Montana State (15-14 in 2025–26) hosts Cal Poly (12-19 in 2025–26) on Nov 15, 2026, 6:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
CP offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · MTST defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
MTST offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · CP defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
CPMTST
Expected pace: about 71 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
CPMTSTNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Hamad Mousa's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamad Mousa | 31.8 | 18.7 | 6.0 | 1.9 |
| Peter Bandelj | 30.8 | 10.8 | 3.9 | 3.3 |
| Cayden Ward | 29.7 | 13.7 | 7.0 | 2.1 |
| Guzman Vasilic | 23.9 | 8.8 | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| Austin Goode | 20.4 | 7.5 | 3.4 | 1.5 |
| Jake Davis | 17.5 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| Jess Esso Essis | 17.4 | 8.6 | 3.6 | 1.0 |
| Luka Tarlac | 14.3 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Miller | 36.9 | 16.7 | 6.4 | 3.5 |
| Christian King | 30.3 | 12.8 | 4.2 | 0.9 |
| Patrick McMahon | 29.7 | 12.5 | 4.7 | 1.8 |
| Davian Brown | 27.5 | 16.0 | 3.3 | 2.3 |
| Jeremiah Davis | 26.5 | 11.2 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| Seth Amunrud | 22.7 | 7.8 | 3.1 | 0.5 |
| Chris Hodges | 21.5 | 4.8 | 4.1 | 0.7 |
| Jaden Steppe | 18.1 | 6.9 | 2.6 | 1.1 |
CP offenseper gameMTST defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
CPForAgainst47% of CP's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MTSTForAgainst46% of MTST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
CP 0series1 MTST| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | MTST 83 | CP 80 | MTST+3 | +3 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | CP12-18 · last 30 games | MTST15-15 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half points against | 40.9#6 of 361 | 33.4#257 of 361 | 35.0 |
| Possessions per game | 75.4#1 of 361 | 67.2#226 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points for | 81.9#28 of 361 | 74.6#169 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −4.1#234 of 361 | +1.7#139 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.