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North Dakota State (24-7 in 2025–26) hosts Cal State Bakersfield (6-24 in 2025–26) on Nov 15, 2026, 2:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
CSUB offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · NDSU defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
NDSU offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · CSUB defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
CSUBNDSU
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
CSUBNDSUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Dailin Smith's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dailin Smith | 30.9 | 17.1 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| CJ Hardy | 28.8 | 8.8 | 2.5 | 3.5 |
| Ronald Jessamy | 27.2 | 15.1 | 7.0 | 1.4 |
| AJ George | 26.5 | 8.1 | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| Kadar Waller | 26.1 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 4.1 |
| Jaden Alexander | 25.3 | 17.0 | 3.3 | 1.0 |
| Tom Mark | 25.3 | 6.9 | 4.5 | 0.9 |
| Mike Price | 20.2 | 8.9 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Stefonowicz | 33.1 | 10.1 | 3.0 | 5.7 |
| Trevian Carson | 31.4 | 10.7 | 6.1 | 3.2 |
| Damari Wheeler-Thomas | 30.1 | 14.2 | 3.6 | 2.2 |
| Markhi Strickland | 24.5 | 9.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 |
| Tay Smith | 24.1 | 9.3 | 3.1 | 0.6 |
| Noah Feddersen | 21.5 | 11.9 | 5.6 | 0.7 |
| Treyson Anderson | 18.1 | 10.8 | 5.0 | 0.7 |
| Emil Skytta | 13.1 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
CSUB offenseper gameNDSU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
CSUBForAgainst45% of CSUB's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
NDSUForAgainst48% of NDSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
CSUB 1series2 NDSU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | NDSU 80 | CSUB 69 | NDSU+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | CSUB 60 | NDSU 94 | NDSU+34 | +34 |
| Nov 11, 2024 | NDSU 81 | CSUB 86 | CSUB+5 | +5 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | CSUB6-24 · last 30 games | NDSU24-6 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin | −11.4#346 of 361 | +8.6#28 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −15.9#343 of 361 | +12.6#29 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 44.7%#336 of 361 | 48.4%#49 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 116.2#38 of 361 | 103.4#315 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.