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American University (14-16 in 2025–26) hosts Harvard (16-12 in 2025–26) on Nov 15, 2026, 1:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
HARV offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · AMER defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
AMER offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · HARV defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
HARVAMER
Expected pace: about 65 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
HARVAMERNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Robert Hinton's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Batties III | 36.0 | 13.4 | 6.9 | 2.4 |
| Tey Barbour | 35.4 | 15.1 | 5.0 | 1.5 |
| Robert Hinton | 35.3 | 17.5 | 4.8 | 2.4 |
| Chandler Pigge | 34.6 | 11.9 | 6.5 | 3.1 |
| Ben Eisendrath | 30.7 | 5.9 | 2.6 | 3.5 |
| Austin Hunt | 25.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 |
| Frankie Mannino | 9.6 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 6.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Jones | 31.2 | 13.2 | 6.2 | 2.1 |
| Matt Mayock | 31.1 | 8.5 | 3.9 | 1.7 |
| Geoff Sprouse | 28.9 | 9.7 | 2.6 | 1.9 |
| Julen Iturbe | 28.7 | 11.7 | 4.9 | 2.5 |
| Madden Collins | 23.1 | 13.7 | 4.6 | 2.2 |
| Wyatt Nausadis | 21.5 | 6.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| Kade Sebastian | 20.0 | 4.9 | 3.0 | 1.1 |
| Chris Eagan | 10.1 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 0.1 |
HARV offenseper gameAMER defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
HARVForAgainst47% of HARV's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
AMERForAgainst47% of AMER's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
HARV 1series1 AMER| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2024 | HARV 55 | AMER 67 | AMER+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2023 | AMER 75 | HARV 80 | HARV+5 | +5 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | HARV18-12 · last 30 games | AMER14-16 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 104.0#306 of 361 | 110.1#183 of 361 | 109.9 |
| 2nd half points against | 35.5#335 of 361 | 38.8#225 of 361 | 39.7 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | +2.8#46 of 361 | +5.6#143 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +4.2#105 of 361 | −1.1#193 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.