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Texas (17-14 in 2025–26) and Baylor (15-16 in 2025–26) meet at a neutral site on Nov 15, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
BAY offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · TEX defense in 0
TEX offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (4 by a clear margin) · BAY defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
BAYTEX
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
BAYTEXNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Dailyn Swain's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Carr | 35.5 | 17.6 | 6.0 | 3.2 |
| Tounde Yessoufou | 34.8 | 17.7 | 5.7 | 1.3 |
| Obi Agbim | 34.0 | 10.7 | 2.5 | 3.0 |
| Isaac Williams IV | 27.8 | 11.5 | 2.5 | 3.7 |
| Caden Powell | 25.3 | 7.5 | 4.9 | 1.8 |
| Dan Skillings Jr. | 24.1 | 8.2 | 4.5 | 1.1 |
| Michael Rataj | 19.1 | 4.9 | 3.6 | 0.7 |
| James Nnaji | 6.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dailyn Swain | 35.9 | 20.3 | 8.0 | 3.2 |
| Jordan Pope | 29.5 | 13.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Tramon Mark | 28.5 | 13.6 | 3.6 | 1.6 |
| Matas Vokietaitis | 28.1 | 15.8 | 7.5 | 1.0 |
| Camden Heide | 25.1 | 5.5 | 2.4 | 0.4 |
| Chendall Weaver | 20.3 | 4.6 | 3.0 | 1.0 |
| Simeon Wilcher | 18.5 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Nic Codie | 16.8 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 1.0 |
BAY offenseper gameTEX defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
BAYForAgainst50% of BAY's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
TEXForAgainst45% of TEX's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
BAY 5series2 TEX| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024 | TEX 85 | BAY 93 | BAY+8 | +8 |
| Jan 20, 2024 | BAY 73 | TEX 75 | TEX+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | TEX 72 | BAY 81 | BAY+9 | +9 |
| Jan 30, 2023 | BAY 71 | TEX 76 | TEX+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2022 | BAY 68 | TEX 61 | BAY+7 | +7 |
| Feb 12, 2022 | TEX 63 | BAY 80 | BAY+17 | +17 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2021 | BAY 83 | TEX 69 | BAY+14 | +14 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | BAY14-16 · last 30 games | TEX17-13 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 48.9%#26 of 361 | 45.4%#301 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −4.7#175 of 361 | +13.5#40 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +4.6#100 of 361 | +9.6#52 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 117.6#47 of 361 | 122.0#11 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.