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San José State (8-24 in 2025–26) hosts Alabama State (9-22 in 2025–26) on Nov 15, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
ALST offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · SJSU defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
SJSU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · ALST defense in 2
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
ALSTSJSU
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
ALSTSJSUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Colby Garland's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Simpson | 32.4 | 13.2 | 4.4 | 4.5 |
| Tyler Byrd | 27.1 | 11.0 | 3.7 | 1.0 |
| Cameron Palesse | 25.0 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| Jerquarius Stanback | 24.9 | 11.0 | 6.8 | 0.5 |
| Tyler Mack | 20.9 | 5.8 | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| Asjon Anderson | 19.3 | 7.7 | 1.6 | 2.5 |
| Damarien Yates | 16.4 | 6.6 | 3.2 | 0.4 |
| Tyler Mason | 16.4 | 11.0 | 3.8 | 0.4 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colby Garland | 37.5 | 21.8 | 2.7 | 5.3 |
| Melvin Bell Jr. | 37.4 | 9.1 | 4.0 | 0.5 |
| Jermaine Washington | 35.3 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 2.4 |
| Adrian Myers | 32.7 | 13.5 | 5.9 | 1.3 |
| Pasha Goodarzi | 31.4 | 10.3 | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| Sadraque NgaNga | 26.3 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 0.6 |
| Japhet Moupadele | 12.6 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Marcus Overstreet | 11.6 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 0.4 |
ALST offenseper gameSJSU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
ALSTForAgainst49% of ALST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
SJSUForAgainst48% of SJSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
ALST 0series1 SJSU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2022 | ALST 57 | SJSU 70 | SJSU+13 | +13 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | ALST9-21 · last 30 games | SJSU8-22 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possessions per game | 70.2#65 of 361 | 65.3#307 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 109.4#204 of 361 | 120.8#9 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Points against | 76.8#127 of 361 | 78.9#75 of 361 | 74.8 |
| 1st half points for | 35.7#132 of 361 | 34.7#183 of 361 | 34.8 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.