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Penn State (12-20 in 2025–26) hosts New Haven (10-16 in 2025–26) on Nov 15, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
NHVN offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · PSU defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
PSU offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · NHVN defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
NHVNPSU
Expected pace: about 65 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
NHVNPSUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Jabri Fitzpatrick's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabri Fitzpatrick | 36.3 | 16.5 | 4.3 | 3.1 |
| Najimi George | 35.3 | 11.9 | 4.4 | 1.7 |
| Andre Pasha | 34.2 | 11.9 | 5.2 | 1.5 |
| Stefano Faloppa | 25.3 | 4.6 | 4.1 | 1.5 |
| Kheni Briggs | 22.1 | 6.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| Teshaun Steele | 17.7 | 4.0 | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| Maison Adeleye | 15.9 | 4.4 | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| Aidan Losiewicz | 8.2 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayden Mingo | 34.1 | 12.4 | 3.1 | 4.1 |
| Josh Reed | 32.6 | 14.4 | 4.3 | 1.0 |
| Ivan Juric | 28.2 | 11.5 | 6.4 | 1.2 |
| Freddie Dilione V | 28.1 | 13.9 | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| Dominick Stewart | 25.5 | 6.9 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| Eli Rice | 20.3 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 0.3 |
| Melih Tunca | 19.2 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Mason Blackwood | 13.1 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.1 |
NHVN offenseper gamePSU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
NHVNForAgainst48% of NHVN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
PSUForAgainst42% of PSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
NHVN 0series1 PSU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | PSU 87 | NHVN 43 | PSU+44 | +44 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | NHVN10-16 · last 26 games | PSU10-20 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points against | 67.2#337 of 361 | 80.9#35 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 106.7#264 of 361 | 120.9#8 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 47.6%#99 of 361 | 44.4%#346 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 96.2#351 of 361 | 109.3#176 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.