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Memphis (13-19 in 2025–26) hosts Louisville (23-10 in 2025–26) on Nov 15, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
LOU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · MEM defense in 1
MEM offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · LOU defense in 4 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
LOUMEM
Expected pace: about 71 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
LOUMEMNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Mikel Brown Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Conwell | 32.2 | 17.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 |
| Mikel Brown Jr. | 31.1 | 19.6 | 3.6 | 4.4 |
| J'Vonne Hadley | 28.3 | 13.3 | 4.9 | 1.4 |
| Isaac McKneely | 27.5 | 9.0 | 2.7 | 1.6 |
| Sananda Fru | 20.7 | 7.2 | 4.9 | 1.3 |
| Adrian Wooley | 20.4 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 1.7 |
| Khani Rooths | 15.5 | 4.7 | 3.9 | 0.7 |
| Aly Khalifa | 11.3 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dug McDaniel | 34.4 | 13.9 | 3.3 | 4.1 |
| Curtis Givens III | 28.5 | 9.6 | 2.5 | 2.8 |
| Julius Thedford | 22.5 | 8.9 | 4.8 | 0.7 |
| Zach Davis | 22.0 | 6.7 | 4.7 | 1.2 |
| Sincere Parker | 21.2 | 13.3 | 4.4 | 1.1 |
| Quante Berry | 20.2 | 7.0 | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| Aaron Bradshaw | 19.9 | 9.1 | 5.0 | 0.6 |
| Ashton Hardaway | 16.3 | 5.0 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
LOU offenseper gameMEM defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
LOUForAgainst48% of LOU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MEMForAgainst45% of MEM's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
LOU 1series0 MEM| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | MEM 73 | LOU 99 | LOU+26 | +26 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | LOU20-10 · last 30 games | MEM12-18 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 119.4#25 of 361 | 105.5#261 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 48.2%#60 of 361 | 45.8%#279 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Scoring margin | +10.4#18 of 361 | −1.6#207 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +15.0#19 of 361 | −2.2#206 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.