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Sacramento State (7-21 in 2025–26) hosts UC Davis (17-14 in 2025–26) on Nov 14, 2026, 8:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UCD offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · SAC defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
SAC offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · UCD defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
UCDSAC
Expected pace: about 71 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
UCDSACNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Prophet Johnson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Sevilla | 31.1 | 12.8 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Carl Daughtery Jr. | 29.8 | 9.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 |
| Brayden Fagbemi | 28.3 | 6.9 | 3.6 | 4.1 |
| Marcus Wilson | 27.4 | 14.9 | 3.1 | 4.3 |
| Niko Rocak | 23.9 | 8.3 | 5.0 | 1.6 |
| Isaiah Chappell | 23.2 | 7.1 | 4.3 | 0.6 |
| Nils Cooper | 20.6 | 8.8 | 3.8 | 1.5 |
| Jalen Stokes | 15.9 | 6.3 | 3.2 | 0.6 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prophet Johnson | 37.2 | 20.6 | 6.6 | 3.9 |
| Mikey Williams | 35.8 | 15.3 | 3.3 | 4.2 |
| Mark Lavrenov | 31.1 | 12.5 | 7.7 | 0.7 |
| Arman Madi | 29.9 | 11.3 | 3.5 | 2.3 |
| Jahni Summers | 29.3 | 11.2 | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| Shaqir O'Neal | 21.0 | 6.3 | 3.8 | 0.6 |
| Taj Glover | 15.3 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Romari Robinson | 14.5 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
UCD offenseper gameSAC defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
UCDForAgainst47% of UCD's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
SACForAgainst46% of SAC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
UCD 3series2 SAC| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2025 | SAC 73 | UCD 77 | UCD+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | UCD 69 | SAC 62 | UCD+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2023 | SAC 69 | UCD 63 | SAC+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2022 | SAC 71 | UCD 82 | UCD+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2021 | UCD 63 | SAC 75 | SAC+12 | +12 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UCD16-14 · last 30 games | SAC7-23 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 45.1%#321 of 361 | 49.0%#27 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 107.3#252 of 361 | 116.1#41 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Scoring margin | −0.4#180 of 361 | −7.7#317 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −0.5#180 of 361 | −10.8#314 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.